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LJWorld.com weblogs Elections 2014

Poll shows Davis surging, leads Brownback 51-41 percent

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A new poll released Tuesday shows Democrat Paul Davis leading incumbent Republican Gov. Sam Brownback by 10 points, 51 percent to 41 percent, even though 19 percent of those surveyed said they have never heard of Davis.

That was enough for the independent polling firm Rasmussen Reports to shift Kansas from "Leans Republican" to "Solid Democrat" in its 2014 Gubernatorial Scorecard.

An earlier poll by Rasmussen in mid-April showed Brownback ahead, 47 percent to 40 percent.

Since then, Brownback's approval ratings have dropped. Now, only 40 percent of those surveyed approve of the job he is doing as governor, compared to 47 percent in April. And nearly half (49 percent) say the state's budget situation is worse than it was a year ago.

The poll was released the same day Brownback unveiled "Road Map 2.0," his economic agenda for the next four years, which calls for staying largely on the same course of cutting taxes and easing regulations, which have marked his first term in office.

Even more troubling for the Brownback campaign, the poll shows Davis currently getting 30 percent of the Republican vote and 20 percent of those who identify themselves as "conservatives."

Davis also leads among both men and women, though his lead is wider among women, and across all age groups, with his biggest advantage coming from younger voters, ages 18 to 39.

But the most interesting detail may be the split by the voters' level of education. Brownback leads 56 percent to 36 percent among those who haven't completed high school, and 59 percent to 36 percent among high school graduates. But Davis leads among all others, and the margin of that lead widens as the voter's educational attainment increases.

Among those who have at least some graduate school credit, Davis leads 60 percent to 35 percent.

The survey of 750 likely voters in Kansas was conducted Aug. 6 through 7, immediately after the primary election. The margin of sampling error was plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Comments

Fred Mertz 4 months, 2 weeks ago

Let me re-write the article.

A new poll shows Davis leads Brownback 51-41.

Many polled have no clue who Davis is but don't care and would vote for a rock over Brownback.

The dumbs one will still vote for Brownback, but the smarter the voter the more likely they will be to vote for Davis.

There - think I said the same thing but used less words

Bob Forer 4 months, 2 weeks ago

Brownback can't run on a record of failure, and given the widening gap despite Davis' lack of name recongnition, I foresee Brownback's campaign getting nasty and dirty quickly.

James Howlette 4 months, 2 weeks ago

Wow. When you're a Republican and you've lost Rasmussen, you're in super bad shape.

Fred Whitehead Jr. 4 months, 2 weeks ago

This is the best news I have heard for a while. Brownback has been a disaster for Kansas except for those west of Topeka that worship his form of "religion".

Clark Coan 4 months, 2 weeks ago

Still too early to call. The negative ads by the Koch brothers have yet to hit the airwaves. They will spend whatever it takes to keep their boy in power. Remember their mantra: "Davis is a Liberal Lawyer from Lawrence (LLL) who wholeheartedly supports Obama."

Interesting that those without a high school diploma and those with only a diploma support Brownback who has pushed an agenda that has been totally against their economic interests.

James Howlette 4 months, 2 weeks ago

The ads are already hitting the airwaves. They're all over the place in more conservative areas of the state.

Randall Uhrich 4 months, 2 weeks ago

Good! I hope Kobach and Brownback's unconstitutional voting rights restrictions don't save his butt. It's never too early to get rid if him.

Tracy Rogers 4 months, 2 weeks ago

I'm waiting to see if Obama's name will be on the ballot in November instead of Davis's. Listening to the ads out so far you'd think it was Obama who was running for governor.

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