Archive for Friday, December 11, 2009

CDC: 1 in 6 Americans have had swine flu

December 11, 2009

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Swine Flu Pandemic

An outbreak of H1N1 Swine Flu was reported in Mexico in April 2009. By the end of May, it had spread across the U.S., with all 50 states reporting cases.

— Swine flu has sickened about 50 million Americans, and killed about 10,000, according to new estimates released by federal health officials on Thursday.

That means about 1 in 6 Americans have had the illness, said Dr. Thomas Frieden, director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

The estimates are for the first seven months of the pandemic, from April through mid-November. The new numbers are a big jump from previous estimates, which said swine flu had sickened 22 million Americans and killed about 4,000 through mid-October.

Most of the increase is due to cases that occurred after early October, when the nation saw the peak of a second wave of illness, CDC officials said.

The CDC also estimates that nearly 200,000 people were hospitalized through mid-November — about the same amount that occurs normally in an entire winter flu season.

While the elderly account for most of the hospitalizations and deaths from seasonal flu, the largest proportion of reported swine flu hospitalizations and deaths are in non-elderly adults, CDC officials said.

More than three-quarters of the deaths were people ages 18 to 64, according to the CDC.

The new estimates seem to echo an unpublished, in-depth CDC analysis of 100 U.S. swine flu deaths. About 80 percent of those deaths were in people ages 20 through 59, and 45 percent were obese, that research found.

Flu estimates are tricky and inexact because many illnesses are relatively mild and go unreported, and hospitalizations and deaths often involve maladies beyond the flu. The CDC actually thinks that between 34 million and 67 million Americans have gotten sick from swine flu, but Frieden gave 50 million as a midpoint estimate.

Flu estimates are also difficult to compare. Seasonal flu kills about 36,000 Americans each year, according to a long-standing estimate. But that number includes many elderly people who had not only seasonal flu and related pneumonia but also heart attacks and strokes. The new CDC swine flu estimates do not include heart attacks and strokes, mainly because there hasn’t been time to collect that kind of data.

So it’s likely the new estimate is conservative, and undercounts elderly deaths, CDC officials acknowledged.

Comments

gr 5 years, 5 months ago

"Swine flu" We are told not to call it "swine flu". Call it Pork Flu.

"Swine flu has sickened about 50 million Americans, and killed about 10,000,"

and 'Meteorites hit 5 billion people daily'.
No evidence. No tests. Just made up statements.

"according to new estimates" Oh, sorry. "Estimates". That figures.

"The new numbers are a big jump from previous estimates,"

Note that the there is no big jump in the number of people getting pork flu, but a big jump in the "estimates".

What are these, "estimates", based on? "Most of the increase is due to cases that occurred after early October, " Ahhh... So, take a number that is made up of less than a month, and multiply it out. How fun.

Interesting, playing the numbers game, if they thought how this damages their desired "pandemic". If 50 million people, 1 in 6, have this so dreaded pork flu, guess it has been basically a non-event.

"about the same amount that occurs normally in an entire winter flu season." OK. So, according to these "estimators", pork flu doesn't happen during the winter time and only during the summer so no bigger impact than regular flu.

"More than three-quarters of the deaths were people ages 18 to 64, according to the CDC." Is that of "deaths" or of death "estimates"?

"The new estimates seem to echo an unpublished, in-depth CDC analysis of 100 U.S. swine flu deaths." 100. Is that a large enough number to make an "estimate" on? Guess global warmers would agree.

"45 percent were obese, that research found." Pork flu is a fat disease! Well, at least less than 50%. But, maybe we could estimate it to be so. It does have a nice ring.
Pork flu - a disease of the porkers.

"Flu estimates are tricky and inexact " But then again, maybe we can't.

"The CDC actually thinks" Ok, we have "estimates", and we have "thinks". "So it’s likely" And don't forget, "likely".

You know what I think. Could we have some real science here? The only science I saw in this article is where they analyzed the age of deaths of 100 people.

Keep hopping on one leg. That keeps the elephants from falling out of the sky. Step right up and let someone inject foreign organisms and their juices, and toxic substances into your body. The king must have clothes on. He just must, because what else have we got?

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