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Archive for Monday, December 7, 2009

Next summit not Earth’s last chance

December 7, 2009

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— With 20,000 delegates, advocates and journalists jetting to Copenhagen for planet Earth’s last chance, the carbon footprint of the global warming summit will be the only impressive consequence of the climate change meeting. Its organizers had hoped it would produce binding caps on emissions, global taxation to redistribute trillions of dollars, and micromanagement of everyone’s choices.

China, nimble at the politics of pretending that is characteristic of climate change theater, promises only to reduce its “carbon intensity” — carbon emissions per unit of production. So China’s emissions will rise.

Barack Obama, understanding the histrionics required in climate change debates, promises that U.S. emissions in 2050 will be 83 percent below 2005 levels. If so, 2050 emissions will equal those in 1910, when there were 92 million Americans. But there will be 420 million in 2050, so Obama’s promise means that per capita emissions then will be about what they were in 1875. That. Will. Not. Happen.

Disclosure of e-mails and documents from the Climate Research Unit in Britain — a collaborator with the U.N.’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change — reveals some scientists’ willingness to suppress or massage data and rig the peer review process and the publication of scholarly work. The CRU materials also reveal paranoia on the part of scientists who believe that in trying to engineer “consensus” and alarm about warming, they are a brave and embattled minority. Actually, never in peacetime history has the government-media-academic complex been in such sustained propagandistic lockstep about any subject.

The Washington Post learns an odd lesson from the CRU materials: “Climate scientists should not let themselves be goaded by the irresponsibility of the deniers into overstating the certainties of complex science or, worse, censoring discussion of them.” These scientists overstated and censored because they were “goaded” by skepticism?

Were their science as unassailable as they insist it is, and were the consensus as broad as they say it is, and were they as brave as they claim to be, they would not be “goaded” into intellectual corruption. Nor would they meretriciously bandy the word “deniers” to disparage skepticism that shocks communicants in the faith-based global warming community.

Skeptics about the shrill certitudes concerning catastrophic manmade warming are skeptical because climate change is constant: From millennia before the Medieval Warm Period (800 to 1300), through the Little Ice Age (1500 to 1850), and for millennia hence, climate change is always a 100 percent certainty. Skeptics doubt that the scientists’ models, which cannot explain the present, infallibly map the distant future.

The Financial Times’ peculiar response to the CRU materials is: The scientific case for alarm about global warming “is growing more rather than less compelling.” If so, then could anything make the case less compelling? A CRU e-mail says: “The fact is that we can’t account for the lack of warming at the moment” — this “moment” is in its second decade — “and it is a travesty that we can’t.”

The travesty is the intellectual arrogance of the authors of climate change models partially based on the problematic practice of reconstructing long-term prior climate changes. On such models we are supposed to wager trillions of dollars — and substantially diminished freedom.

Some climate scientists compound their delusions of intellectual adequacy with messiah complexes. They seem to suppose themselves a small clerisy entrusted with the most urgent truth ever discovered. On it, and hence on them, the planet’s fate depends. So some of them consider it virtuous to embroider facts, exaggerate certitudes, suppress inconvenient data, and manipulate the peer review process to suppress scholarly dissent and, above all, to declare that the debate is over.

Consider the sociology of science, the push and pull of interests, incentives, appetites and passions. Governments’ attempts to manipulate Earth’s temperature now comprise one of the world’s largest industries. Tens of billions of dollars are being dispensed, as by the U.S. Energy Department, which has suddenly become, in effect, a huge venture capital operation, speculating in green technologies. Political, commercial, academic and journalistic prestige and advancement can be contingent on not disrupting the (postulated) consensus that is propelling the gigantic and fabulously lucrative industry of combating global warming.

Copenhagen is the culmination of the post-Kyoto maneuvering by people determined to fix the world’s climate by breaking the world’s — especially America’s — population to the saddle of ever-more-minute supervision by governments. But Copenhagen also is prologue for the 2010 climate change summit in Mexico City, which will be planet Earth’s last chance, until the next one.

Comments

Richard Heckler 5 years ago

This is not a great rebuttal at all. It was after all 8 years of Bushco and the repub administrations failure to cooperate with the world. Now were trying to get back to square one after BUSHCO gutted plenty.

The term climate change is often used interchangeably with the term global warming, but according to the National Academy of Sciences, "the phrase 'climate change' is growing in preferred use to 'global warming' because it helps convey that there are [other] changes in addition to rising temperatures."

Climate change refers to any significant change in measures of climate (such as temperature, precipitation, or wind) lasting for an extended period (decades or longer). Climate change may result from:

* natural factors, such as changes in the sun's intensity or slow changes in the Earth's orbit around the sun;
* natural processes within the climate system (e.g. changes in ocean circulation);
* human activities that change the atmosphere's composition (e.g. through burning fossil fuels) and the land surface (e.g. deforestation, reforestation, urbanization, desertification, etc.)

Global warming is an average increase in the temperature of the atmosphere near the Earth's surface and in the troposphere, which can contribute to changes in global climate patterns. Global warming can occur from a variety of causes, both natural and human induced. In common usage, "global warming" often refers to the warming that can occur as a result of increased emissions of greenhouse gases from human activities. http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/basicinfo.html

Climate Change: What it is ... | Climate Change Kids Site http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/kids/cc.html

Union of Concerned Scientists http://www.ucsusa.org/global_warming/

Richard Heckler 5 years ago

Global warming

Global warming is the most urgent environmental crisis of our time, and we have the solutions — we just lack political will. That's why we're demanding U.S. climate leadership on the world stage, working with business to implement solutions, and exposing the dirty secrets of corporate polluters like Exxon. Find out what you can do to pitch in. Together, we can stop global warming. More... http://www.greenpeace.org/usa/campaigns/global-warming-and-energy

Richard Heckler 5 years ago

Union of Concerned Scientists

Scientific Integrity Political interference in federal government science is weakening our nation's ability to respond to the complex challenges we face. Because policy makers depend on impartial research to make informed decisions, we are mobilizing scientists and citizens alike to push for reforms that will enable our leaders to fully protect our health, safety, and environment. Features

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Scientific Integrity Progress Report Has the Obama administration’s action matched its rhetoric on scientific integrity? We've put together a progress report on the administration's first few months in office, highlighting instances where science has been defended, as well as the significant work yet to be done.

Recommendations for the Obama Administration UCS has put developed a set of detailed steps President Obama and Congress can take to restore scientific integrity to federal policy making.

The recommendations are based on input from thousands of scientists, current and former government science advisors, congressional aides, reporters, and public interest organizations from throughout the political spectrum.

Richard Heckler 5 years ago

There are so many more humans on the planet than ever before in the history of climate.

Yes humans are tossing so many more man made equations into the atmosphere thus challenging the normal course of events aka how to neutralize the refined toxic components that which the human race is putting forward.

Coal power in and of itself is the largest contributor which is dumping all sorts of refined toxic elements into the atmosphere causing the atmosphere to screaming out what the hell is going on? The natural course of decomposition is now overwhelmed. It is also providing quite the negative impact on humans as the refined toxic components come back into our breathing space and deliver a most powerful event known as cancer.

It's time humans all over the world look within themselves for the corrective process and NOW take steps that initiate restoration of planet earth for the sake of all life.

Al Gore is also a prime example of why Green Investments are okay = big bucks.

Jason Bailey 5 years ago

Merrill: Lung cancer is not on the rise...it is decreasing in incidence. If your argument were true, that would not be the case.

The reason for cancer spiking in the 50s-90s is due to people making lifestyle choices that are not healthy and the lack of exercise/migration of jobs to sedentary workplaces. It's a cultural thing not an environmental thing.

Nearly all coal plants in America today filter out any carcinogens leaving CO2. I couldn't care less about CO2...plants absorb that and, last time I checked, the total CO2 concentration in our atmosphere is not changing.

Continue to believe in these fairy tales of death and mayhem called Anthropogenic Global Warming. I will choose to continue what I've always done (and what your liberal friends always encourage me to do)...use common sense to ferret out the lies.

Richard Heckler 5 years ago

Climate Countdown: Largest Climate Summit in World History Opens in Copenhagen

Democracy Now! broadcasts live from Copenhagen from inside the Bella Center, where thousands of delegates from over 190 countries are gathering for the largest climate summit in history. Over the next two weeks, 100 world leaders are expected to attend the UN conference that has been described by some scientists as the most important the world has ever seen. We play highlights from the opening ceremony with the mayor of Copenhagen, Ritt Bjerregaard; Rajendra Pachauri, the chair of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change; and Yvo de Boer, the executive secretary of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change, speaking on Sunday.

http://www.democracynow.org/2009/12/7/climate_countdown_largest_climate_summit_in

Richard Heckler 5 years ago

Ahead of Copenhagen Talks, Tens of Thousands Protest Across Europe Calling for Climate Justice London-protest-cop15

While protests are expected to start later this week in Copenhagen, tens of thousands of people marched throughout Europe on Saturday calling on world leaders to reach an agreement to reduce emissions in Copenhagen. Protesters took to the streets in Belfast, Glasgow, Paris, Brussels, Berlin and London. The largest protest was in London, where organizers of the Stop Climate Chaos protest put the crowd total at 50,000. Participants in the march included Britain Climate and Energy Secretary Ed Miliband, actor Peter Capaldi and former BBC weather presenter Michael Fish.

http://www.democracynow.org/2009/12/7/ahead_of_copenhagen_talks_tens_of

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