LJWorld.com weblogs Tale of the Tait

Our first look at realignment and what it means for the Big 12

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Before I go any further, let me say one thing: It’s way too early to start freaking out about conference realignment in the NCAA, but I’m going to do it anyway.

OK, good. Now that we’re clear, let’s get to it.

Unless you’ve been living without electricity or in outer space instead of cyber space, you’re surely aware by now that the hottest topic in college athletics is the potential realignment of the major conferences into pods that have been termed mega or super conferences.

My short answer to this development? Get used to it, embrace it, learn to love it. It’s going to happen sooner rather than later.

My longer answer, however, will take us a little deeper into the issue, one that is as exciting as it is scary, as full of good as it is rooted in bad.

From where I sit, the bottom line for KU fans is this: As long as the Jayhawks aren’t left out in the cold, their fan base is going to accept whatever happens.

For years, the Big Eight was the greatest thing going. Kansas, Nebraska, Missouri, Oklahoma; All were classic universities with outstanding athletics and sound academics. Then the Big 12 came along and things got even better. Although many Big Eight purists initially rejected the adoption of the Texas schools, many eventually learned to love it, particularly during bowl season or when March Madness rolled around. Having four more teams meant more chances to represent in the postseason. That, of course, provided KU backers more reason to brag about their school’s supremacy.

Remember, though, before there was the Big 12 and even before the Big Eight, fans of the Big 7 and the Big 6 probably felt the same way. Heck, I’m guessing that fans of the old SWC, where the Texas schools came from in the first place, felt that way about their conference. But, be honest, before this blog, when was the last time you even heard the SWC mentioned?

I’m not going to spend a lot of time speculating about what’s going to happen — at least not in this blog. I don’t know which teams will land where and nobody around here is talking much about it — at least not on the record.

Here’s the gist of what’s possible, though.

Nebraska and Missouri have been linked to the Big Ten. It’s possible that one, or both, could join the conference in the near future. Notre Dame is another major player on the Big Ten’s radar and the Golden Domers likely would be the Big Ten’s first choice. That’s if they just wanted to expand to 12. Expanding to 16, and therein forming a super conference, is a real possibility and that’s where the two Big 12 schools — and possibly even KU — come into play a little more.

Heading the other direction, Colorado has been linked — yet again — to the Pac 10. The rumors out of Boulder are saying that if the Buffs are given an invitation, they’ll jump on it in a matter of seconds. Again, I don’t know much here, but I’m betting this one is going to happen.

So, for argument’s sake, let’s say Nebraska and Mizzou go to the Big Ten and Colorado goes to the Pac 10. That leaves nine teams struggling for survival and puts the Big 12 in a tough position. Does the Big 12 then invite teams like TCU, Utah, BYU or Arkansas into the mix or does it implode completely with Texas, Oklahoma, Texas A&M and Oklahoma State looking to bolt for the SEC? Add those four to the SEC’s current lineup and you’re looking at another super conference.

People are saying that the survival of the Big 12 is tied directly to Texas. Tell us something we don’t already know. But, in this case, it could be more true than ever. If the Longhorns want to stick it out in the Big 12, which would be very much in their favor as it has been all along, then the conference would survive. If not, it’s every man for himself and it leaves KU, K-State, Iowa State, Baylor and Texas Tech scrambling for their lives.

Of course, a big reason that some of these schools are exploring the option of leaving in the first place is because they believe things are slanted towards Texas in the first place and they’re tired of dealing with it.

As far as Kansas goes, KU will probably be OK no matter what happens. The basketball program is a national draw and any conference out there — super or otherwise — would love to add that kind of program to their league. K-State, because it has been on the rise in recent years and is linked to Kansas in so many natural ways, also would probably be OK.

There has been talk about KU and K-State joining the Pac-10 in an attempt at making a super conference. Sounds crazy, I know, but there certainly are worse alternatives. In addition, rumors are flying around that the Jayhawks have been linked to the Big 10, as well. Whether this is in place of Missouri or Nebraska or in addition to them is still not known.

I don’t know what’s going to happen with all of this and I’m not sure anyone else does either. Are we going to have four 16-team power conferences or will this end up being like that earthquake that was supposed to hit Lawrence back in 1989? Your guess is as good as mine there. And, for now, it’s not really my job to figure that out.

I do know this, though. Change is coming. And, although it might be tough to accept at first, it could be in KU’s best interest.

Comments

devobrun 5 years ago

Yeah Matt, where is congress in all this? I'm sure there will be congressional inquiries.

Ignorant_Yokel 5 years ago

"At some time, the six major conferences are going to have their own quasi-NCAA. They're going to do their own thing." -- Lew Perkins, April 13, 2010, Topeka Capital-Journal.

KU may have no choice but to be a catalyst in the NCAA doomsday scenario.

Shardwurm 5 years ago

The only solution to this problem is to raise taxes.

gccs14r 5 years ago

How about separating these professional sports teams from their tax-shield universities and let universities get back to the business of educating people? The sports teams could then contribute to the tax base, instead of draining it.

Raider 5 years ago

You lost all credibility when you lumped KU and Tech in with ISU/Bayor/KSU. KU and Tech are far superior. KU being a basketball powerhouse and Tech being very strong in football. Also Tech, UT, aTm are pretty much a package deal. They won't go anywhere without all 3. The Big 12 will survive. Most likely case is that MU/CU leave, then the Big 12 brings in Arkansas and another team. Arkansas will become part of the South Division and Tech will realign to the North.

d_prowess 5 years ago

Arkansas currently gets about $17 million from the SEC. The UT, which gets the most money in the Big 12, gets only about $12-13 million. Since we know all of these moves are about money, it makes ZERO sense for Arkansas to leave the SEC for the Big 12.

Matt Tait 5 years ago

Agreed. I think TCU's a more likely Big 12 grab than Arkansas....

But you'd still need at least one more, if just two of the three — MU, NU and CU — leave. If all three bolt, you'd need two more. Yikes!!!

Jeremiah Jefferson 5 years ago

If BIG XII schools don't like Texas, why dont they get better instead of pussing out? They can start by playing a real scheadule. If people think swapping the Longhorns for the Razorbacks, Utah, TCU and so on is going to level the playing field in the Big XII they are saddly mistaken. No team in the Big XII other than Texas or Oaklahoma has been able to play and seriously compete against a solid SEC or PAC 10 team and come out ahead. Nebraska used to untill they went down the toilet after the Eric Crouch erra. I say leave the conferences alone. The reason the BIG XII doesn't gather national attention is because they play some of the softest scheadules for the first 5 weeks of the season and then fold when they get into playing tougher teams. No one wants to watch blow outs and thats what happens with BIG XII football. If KU or K-State isn't blowing out some hole in the wall school 65-0, they are getting blown out themselves 55-7 to a much better big name school. In a nut shell thats BIG XII football. I never thought Id say it, cause I used to really think the Big XII was a tough conference, but anymore all I can say is over rated.

riverdrifter 5 years ago

One scenario being thrown out (if we lose MU, CU & NU) is to get Louisville, Memphis & Cincinnatti. Wouldn't be the greatest FB conference but a BB powerhouse. I hope Lew can finagle a decent outcome for KU. He's a consummate shaker and deal-maker and I'm glad we've got him now. Dan Beebe is a joke and a failure as Big-12 commissioner, making Lew Perkins even more important to KU. If you're gonna swim with the sharks, it's best to be one.

ozzynbn 5 years ago

I don't think it's going to happen. Pie in the sky............

blakus 5 years ago

I don't think the Big XII has much to worry about in terms of attracting great teams if Missouri, Nebraska, Colorado and especially Texas leave. The elite programs in the Mountain West Conference have been moaning for years about getting their conference an automatic BCS berth. If Utah, BYU, and/or TCU are offered a spot in the Big XII, they would jump on it. More money, more publicity. The Mountain West is garbage save the three teams mentioned. TCU was ranked in the top five for football almost all of last year; Utah was ranked the entire season. In terms of basketball, Utah and BYU were ranked all of last year and are solid programs. There is no reason to think the Big XII will collapse, especially when there are great programs out there that would love to join our conference and are certainly motivated to do so.

Matt Tait 5 years ago

Well said... If we're talking purely about teams and athletics, you're exactly right. Unfortunately, this whole thing is about money and money changes everything so we'll just have to see.

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