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When will we get our first snow?

The record for the earliest snowfall in Topeka was set on October 9, 1970. Up to this point, we haven't received our first snow, so we won't break any records. (There have been reports of a few snowflakes mixing in with rain for areas around Junction City, however nothing confirmed or notable has occurred yet this season.)

Here are the dates for the first snowfall in Topeka over the past five years:

November 29, 2008

November 21, 2007

December 31, 2006

November 15, 2005

November 23, 2004

Knowing the record and trend over the past five years, I thought it would be interesting for people to guess when they think we will see snowfall the first time this year. Pick your date and post it in the comments below, or on our 49 Storm Team Weather Facebook Page. Once we receive our first snow, we'll check back to see who was the closest.

Comments

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  1. WereAllMonkeys (anonymous) says…

    December 17th

  2. Shockem211 (anonymous) says…

    December 10th

  3. shorttrees (anonymous) says…

    December 21st.

  4. middlemgmt (anonymous) says…

    December 3rd

  5. costello (anonymous) says…

    November 24th.

  6. The_Original_Bob (anonymous) says…

    Well, this coming storm is still five days away, so Tom might be right. I'm going to stick with the average first snowfall which I believe is December 4th.

  7. misplacedcheesehead (anonymous) says…

    Even if we do get snow here, it won't be enough to satisfy me!

  8. Irish (Leslie Swearingen) says…

    November 21, at 2:30 pm

  9. artichokeheart (anonymous) says…

    November 18th

  10. lily (anonymous) says…

    How about November 28

  11. ksdivakat (anonymous) says…

    Nov 18th

  12. emily_litella (anonymous) says…

    When it snows?

  13. zstoltenberg (anonymous) says…

    I'm going with November 28th. i need it to hold off until at least then so I can get all of my Christmas lights up!

  14. snoopy_79 (anonymous) says…

    November 30th

  15. sassypants (anonymous) says…

    November 25. Day before thanksgiving. Just in time for the holiday for all the stupid people who dont know how to drive on snow or ice.

    1. gracecountry62 (anonymous) replies

      I second that , so so true

  16. denak (anonymous) says…

    December 5, 2009 at 3:52 p.m.

  17. kitnkat (anonymous) says…

    December 9th

  18. ldawg (anonymous) says…

    There is a select few along with Al Gore who know it will never snow again on Earth. God bless us all.

  19. coolmom (anonymous) says…

    december 5th

  20. Trouble (anonymous) says…

    November 26th, if its not then... it will be December 15th.

  21. riverdrifter (anonymous) says…

    Two days after the bluebills and canvasbacks (what there of them, I'll be watching, though) migrate by.
    We still haven't had a true kill frost, BTW.

  22. riverdrifter (anonymous) says…

    Meant to sat 'what there are of them', sorry.
    BTW, I'm waiting for Jackripper to give us his all-knowing input on this. After dozens of posts on such things as KU football and *coupons*, well, sheeit, what do I know about this?
    I'll say this: the first snowflakes will land on my ass (or thereabout) long before they do 95% of the posters hereabout.

  23. thebcman (anonymous) says…

    December 1st -- 8:57 a.m.

  24. RETICENT_IRREVERENT (Ronaldo Ignacio) says…

    Whats the prize?

    1. gracecountry62 (anonymous) replies

      A snow cone , I know this was stupid but you were more stupid reading the response
      Go Long Horns

  25. SpiritTat (anonymous) says…

    December 10th ~ 11:20pm ~

  26. Pywacket (anonymous) says…

    Day of Infamy!

    December 7 at 7:55 a.m.

  27. RoeDapple (anonymous) says…

    I'll go with Dec 26th...

    So I can get all my Christmas shopping done....

  28. Pywacket (anonymous) says…

    Roe~ Would that be your 2008 or 2007 shopping...?

  29. mistygreen (anonymous) says…

    I'm with Py - December 7th.
    We always get some kind of wintry precipitation that first week of December.

  30. RoeDapple (anonymous) says…

    Py,
    Nah, Mrs Roe took care of those...

    Tired of waiting, I guess..

  31. beawolf (anonymous) says…

    No snow this year. So I'll say Dec 5th 2010.

  32. thebcman (anonymous) says…

    may need to update my guess ...

    Issued by The National Weather Service
    Topeka, KS
    3:01 pm CST, Sat., Nov. 14, 2009

    ... snow possible sunday night and monday...

    an upper level storms system is forecast to move across northern oklahoma and southern kansas during the day monday which is slightly faster than previous forecasts. this faster movement could allow colder air to move into central and eventually eastern kansas through the day monday and change rain over to snow. there is still some uncertainty with how much cold air will move into the area and when precipitation may change over to snow. therefore it is difficult to project any specifics with regards to snow amounts.

    if snow does occur... it will most likely start across north central kansas sunday night and then spread east into northeast and possibly east central kansas during the day monday.

    due to the uncertainty in the forecast... persons in north central... northeast and east central kansas should pay close attention to the forecast during the day sunday and prepare for wintry conditions on sunday night and throughout the day monday.

  33. emily_litella (anonymous) says…

    Here's your trophy Tom!

    http://www.mrpoop.com/theres-somethin...

    congrats!

  34. emily_litella (anonymous) says…

    No, The capital 'S' was a special touch too, don't you think?
    give, give, give!

  35. RoeDapple (anonymous) says…

    Congrats on the win Tom!!.....

    I think.....

    ....

    ...ewwww.......

  36. mindylogan83 (anonymous) says…

    I am going to go with november 20 there is alot for dec but over the last five yrs only once did it start in december i am going with odds so november

  37. gracecountry62 (anonymous) says…

    It would be nice to have a white Christmas