Strong storms on Friday

This year is going down in history as one of the most active severe weather years in recent memory, and here we are talking about the possibility of strong storms once again. Let’s lay this out for everybody without getting too technical. First, let’s review the main ingredients for thunderstorm development:1) Heat – Check. We are looking at another low 90 degree day. 2) Moisture – Check. We look at the dew point temperature as the measure of the amount of moisture in the atmosphere. With a strong south wind through the day on Thursday AND Friday, we are looking at dew points near 71 or 72 degrees (that’s high, and it will be muggy outside). 3) Lift – Check. We are looking at a cold front pushing through the region late Friday afternoon or Friday evening. That will be the trigger to allow storms to fire along the leading edge of that front.Although I expect to see quite a few strong storms across the region, the one thing that we are missing to have a severe weather outbreak is the jet stream. The jet stream tends to make a migration during the summer well to the north of Kansas. With the jet stream in place, it provides support for thunderstorm development… which is what we were seeing in the latter part of the spring this year. Without it, we can still see the development, although we may not see the “outbreaks” that we were seeing in early June.Short story: We have everything in place for a short-lived strong storm event. Once the front moves through, we are looking at a FANTASTIC start to the weekend.