Stock watch: Early draft projections vary on Kelly Oubre Jr. and Cliff Alexander

For the second year in a row, two Kansas basketball freshmen have left the program as one-and-done college players to chase their professional dreams and enter the NBA Draft.

Unlike in 2014, when Andrew Wiggins and Joel Embiid both proved to be top-three picks, it isn’t easy to project where Kelly Oubre Jr. and Cliff Alexander will go in the two-round, 60-pick extravaganza on June 25, in New York.

Between now and then, the two Jayhawks have almost two months worth of workouts, interviews and pondering in front of them, as they try to improve their draft stock and anticipate the day that will set them off on their NBA journeys.

The NBA Draft lottery, which determines the order of the top 14 picks, isn’t until May 19. Only Oubre has a shot to land in that range, it appears, and there is no guarantee he will get picked that soon.

Here are the 14 teams that missed out on the playoffs, and their odds for obtaining a top-three draft pick in the lottery, courtesy of Tankathon.com. Remember, the better a team’s odds, the less likely said franchise will be a landing spot for Oubre.

Minnesota, 64.3%

New York, 55.8%

Philadelphia, 46.9%

L.A. Lakers, 37.8%

Orlando, 29.1%

Sacramento, 21.5%

Denver, 15.0%

Detroit, 9.9%

Charlotte, 6.1%

Miami, 4.0%

Indiana, 2.9%

Utah, 2.5%

Phoenix, 2.2%

Oklahoma City, 1.8%

Some mock drafts out there have Oubre, a wing, as a late lottery pick. None of the prognosticators think Alexander, a post player, will sniff that range. Check out some various projections:

MOCK
DRAFTS
Kelly Oubre Jr.
projections
Cliff Alexander
projections
NBADraft.net 11th 35th
MyNBADraft.com 10th 30th
DraftExpress.com 12th 27th
HoopsHype.com
(1st round only)
11th N/A
DraftSite.com 21st 54th
Chad Ford, ESPN.com
(1st round only)
9th N/A
SheridanHoops.com 11th 27th
NetScoutsBasketball.com 24th 29th
BleacherReport.com 13th 25th
Sam Vecenie, CBSSports.com 10th 32nd
Gary Parrish, CBSSports.com 11th 30th
Zach Harper, CBSSports.com 8th 26th


Kelly Oubre Jr.

photo by: Nick Krug

Kansas guard Kelly Oubre Jr. (12) heads to the bucket against Iowa State guard Bryce Dejean-Jones (13) during the first half on Saturday, Jan. 17, 2015 at Hilton Coliseum.

— SF, 6-foot-7, 204 pounds, 19 years old, from Richmond, Texas —

Average mock draft position: 13th

Current high: 8th (Zach Harper, CBSSports.com)

Current low: 24th

Stock assessment: Oubre’s 9.3 points, 5.0 rebounds and 44.4% shooting in his one season at Kansas don’t scream lottery pick, but it looks like he has a serious chance of landing in the top 14.

He struggled to adjust to the college game initially at KU and didn’t become a regular starter until late December. The learning curve will be even more difficult to navigate in the NBA, but that doesn’t mean general managers and scouts are going to pass on him.

Oubre’s 7-foot-1 wingspan makes him an intriguing prospect, especially on the defensive end of the floor. Even if it takes a year or two for the young wing to feel comfortable attacking on offense in The Association, he is athletic enough and has the right instincts to come off the bench and defend on the wing.

Here is a snippet of what DraftExpress.com has to say about the 19-year-old small forward’s offense:

“Offensively, Oubre’s most NBA-ready
attribute is likely his jump shot, as
he has soft touch, natural scoring
instincts, a nice follow-through and
smooth mechanics when in rhythm. He
was a little bit streaky at times (36%
3P%) as a freshman, partially due to
shot-selection issues, but he has a
nice foundation in place to make this
part of his game a dangerous weapon
with repetition.”

Cliff Alexander

photo by: Nick Krug

Kansas forward Cliff Alexander (2) fights for position between Michigan State guard Denzel Valentine and forward Colby Wollenman (41) during the first half on Sunday, Nov. 30, 2014 at the HP Field House in Kissimmee, Florida.

— PF/C, 6-foot-9, 254 pounds, 19 years old, from Chicago —

Average mock draft position: 31st

Current high: 25th (BleacherReport.com)

Current low: 54th

Stock assessment: In the best-case scenario for Alexander, some team at the end of the first round will take a chance on him and give him a guaranteed contract. If he slips into the second round, any team that drafts him neither has to commit to him longterm nor pay him anywhere close to first-round money (the last pick of the first round, No. 30 overall, receives more than $900,000 a year).

The 19-year-old big man, of course, finds himself in this predicament because he never really caught on in Bill Self’s rotation at KU, and then couldn’t even showcase his talents in the final eight games due to an NCAA investigation.

Before the off-court issues popped up, it seemed Alexander had figured some things out for himself when he put up back-to-back double-digit scoring efforts vs. Oklahoma and at Texas. But the freshman fell by the wayside again soon afterward.

If any good came of the 6-foot-9 post player’s tumultuous freshman season at Kansas, it’s that it should motivate him. Self often said after Alexander began sitting out that he worked harder than ever at practices in the final weeks of the season. If Alexander can carry that over to workouts in front of NBA executives and coaches, and impress the right people, he could get a chance in the league to show his full potential. Something he never achieved with the Jayhawks.


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