Archive for Friday, November 4, 2016

New poll shows Trump up by 24 in Kansas; judicial retention races may be close

In this file photo, voters take to the polls at Cornerstone Southern Baptist Church, 802 W. 22nd Terrace, on Tuesday, Nov. 4, 2008.

In this file photo, voters take to the polls at Cornerstone Southern Baptist Church, 802 W. 22nd Terrace, on Tuesday, Nov. 4, 2008.

November 4, 2016


A new poll from Fort Hays State University shows Republican Donald Trump with a commanding lead in Kansas over Democrat Hillary Clinton. But some Kansas Supreme Court justices may face tough battles for retention.

The latest "flash" survey of 346 likely voters, conducted Nov. 1-3, shows Trump leading Clinton, 58-34 percent in Kansas. The poll had a margin of error of 5.5 percentage points in either direction.

Those numbers are much closer in line with Kansas results in other recent presidential elections than last week's "Kansas Speaks" poll that showed Trump polling below 50 percent, only 8 percentage points ahead of Clinton.

In the last four presidential elections, 2000-2012, GOP candidates have averaged 59.1 percent of the vote in Kansas; Democrats have averaged 38.3 percent.

The Kansas Speaks poll was a large survey covering many races and issues that was conducted over a period of six weeks beginning Sept. 1, a time frame during which many voters may have still been making up their minds.

"I think you're seeing Republicans across the country coming home," University of Kansas political science professor Burdett Loomis said of the latest survey.

In other races, the poll showed Republican U.S. Sen. Jerry Moran with a commanding lead over his challengers: 77 percent for Moran compared with 13 percent for Democrat Patrick Wiesner of Lawrence and 10 percent for Libertarian Robert Garrard of Edgerton.

In the hotly contested judicial retention races, though, the FHSU poll showed 4 of the 5 Supreme Court justices in a tough battle for retention.

Conservative groups have targeted those four to be not retained because of their rulings in death penalty cases, school finance and other issues. They are Chief Justice Lawton Nuss and Associate Justices Carol Beier, Dan Biles and Marla Luckert.

They have also campaigned to retain Justice Caleb Stegall, who is Gov. Sam Brownback's only appointee to the court.

Another group, Kansans for Fair Courts, has campaigned to retain all five justices.

The FHSU poll showed none of the justices coasting to an easy win. The four justices being targeted had identical numbers: 46 percent in favor of retention; 35 percent saying they would not retain them; and 19 percent undecided.

Stegall, meanwhile, is doing only marginally better, with 52 percent saying they would vote to retain; 29 percent saying they'll vote not to retain; and 19 percent undecided.


Fred Whitehead Jr. 1 year, 7 months ago

Of course! Kansans just love sex offenders for public office!

And hate the black non-citizen Muslim lawfully elected person who is President of the United States.

And hate anyone associated with the said President of the United States.

Makes me wonder about the credibility of these many "polls"

Barb Gordon 1 year, 7 months ago

Kansans elected Brownback twice. In spite of hating him. In spite of knowing how bad his policies were and what he was doing to the state. It's a state that loves to cut off its nose to spite its face. Especially if you tell them that doing so will force some woman to birth against her will.

Bob Smith 1 year, 7 months ago

Goes to show you what rubbish candidates were running against him.

Barb Gordon 1 year, 7 months ago

Or what rubbish lies Kansans tell themselves in order to keep voting for anything with an R next to it.

Tony Peterson 1 year, 7 months ago

A poll of 346 "likely voters" in an entire state isn't enough sampling to declare that Mr. Cheeto Face has a 24 point lead in Kansas. Might have that much of a lead if they only polled voters in the part of the state where FHSU is located.

Carol Bowen 1 year, 7 months ago

I quit reading/listening to campaign news and polls. I researched policy positions on all the candidates last summer. I watched all the debates. (That was painful.) There's nothing new. I was ready to vote at least a month ago.

We really have to do something about the length of these campaigns. If Canada can campaign in three months, surely we can have a campaign shorter than two years.

And, where are the state's reps? Are we supposed to vote on their past laurels of obstructionism?

Alex Landazuri 1 year, 7 months ago

only if you want the Christian version of ISIS in this state, which I do not.

Barb Gordon 1 year, 7 months ago

Justin doesn't live in Kansas, so his wants for this election are irrelevant. He's just here to troll for the man who represents everything Jesus warned against on the Sermon on the Mount.

Fred Whitehead Jr. 1 year, 7 months ago

The latest "flash" survey ,,,,,,,,,,,"flash in the pan"????

Well, we all know that "Bleeding Kansas" is nowhere USA to most of the rest of the country and will have absolutely no effect on the national election. You never hear it mentioned in all the blather about "battleground states", we are invisible to CNN and Fox News.

So having any concern about this is pretty much wasted energy. But it bothers me that the people here have elected fools like Brownback and Kobach (Who has traveled extensively around the country extolling his voter suppression plans to other states on the public dime) still have any noteworthy public sway in any way or manner whatever.

What really galls me is the news media. Not because Trump says they are crooked, he has no veracity with me. but they are hyping (see my Letter to the Editor a few days ago) this election making every supposition and hoped for detail gospel and irrefutable facts to get ratings for their news casts. The real fraud I hate most is the imaginary "maps" detailing how every state will vote based on their flawed notions of what has happened in the past. All this to sell soap, diapers and fraudulent medical products to fools who buy this stuff.

David Reynolds 1 year, 7 months ago

Kansas is a reliably conservative state, that's why we are not mentioned as a battle ground state. Yes we have voted democratic at times. Kansan's heritage are hard working, people of the land, that historically do not support a liberal agenda. We care for people, but our intent is to make them self sufficient and not maintain dependence. That's why we aren't mentioned and we are proud of it. Our values do not vacillate with the latest social trends.

With regard to the media, they are very very biased in their one sided attacks on conservatives, and ignoring significant issues on the liberal side. If, in some peoples eyes it makes them crooked, then so be it. I will say that the MSM is hardly honest in the majority of their reporting.

With regard to the electoral maps and polling info, I agree with you. In my personal view it is all aimed at promoting an agenda to try to sway peoples minds. Luckily, most people are aware if this type of manipulation and ignore it...Independent thinking, something the press does not like.

Bob Forer 1 year, 7 months ago

"We care for people ............."

Unless they are a complete idiot, I cannot see anyone who truly cares for people voting for Donald Trump.

Bob Smith 1 year, 7 months ago

"... I cannot see..." Well, there's your problem.

Barb Gordon 1 year, 7 months ago

It's easy if you define "people" as mainly white men and fetuses.

Bob Summers 1 year, 7 months ago

Margaret Sanger defined desirable "people" mainly White men and fetuses.

Bob Summers 1 year, 7 months ago

I cannot see anyone who truly cares for people voting for Donald Trump

Why would you see? You' have the Liberal genetic condition.

I do want to thank you for cease and desisting the rogue Bob Summers account. After I caught you. Actually, it was the boys in IT that did the work.

Bob Forer 1 year, 7 months ago

i have no idea what you are talking about. Flea fecal matters rates higher in my book than foolish backward twits like yourself.

don't flatter yourself. Life is too short to waste time trying to sabotage irrelevancies. you are nothing more to me than passing entertainment.

Justin Hoffman 1 year, 7 months ago

"i have no idea..." You'll never have an idea Bob, you suffer from a condition.

Barb Gordon 1 year, 7 months ago

Oh yes. How he "suffers" from that condition, LOL. A condition of having friends and an active social life, per BS's cited research about DRD4 genetics. That's why BS doesn't post the research anymore. We actually read it.

I'm so sorry nobody wants to invite you to their parties, Justin. Maybe someday you'll have friends.

Ken Hunt 1 year, 7 months ago

"Make them self sufficient and not maintain dependence," well, here is a listing of farm subsidies and crop insurance subsidies for our state for the year 2014:

commodity program subsidies - $9.7 billion crop insurance subsidies - $4.37 billion

Earl Williams 1 year, 7 months ago

Crazy that these subsidies never come up ! But we are quick to cut off Foodstamps to those in need !

David Reynolds 1 year, 7 months ago

One can always identify those who have nothing constructive to add to the conversation...all they have are demeaning terms & unfounded assumptions hoping to disparage those they don't agree with.

Is this the best we can hope for from our commentators?

Paul Beyer 1 year, 7 months ago

Seems the poll included a lot of the "deplorables", how else could brownies lackey, Stegall to be retained.

Tim Foley 1 year, 7 months ago

I wish I were crazy. It would make things so much easier.

Dorothy Hoyt-Reed 1 year, 7 months ago

The Kansas Republicans love what Brownback has done to our state and want Trump to do the same for the nation. And if you are voting to not retain the judges, then you are voting for Brownback again. Kansas always vote against their own best interest. Any day now they are certain that those people who no longer pay taxes are going to create jobs out of thin air. They are just biding their time waiting, waiting, waiting.

Barb Gordon 1 year, 7 months ago

I'd be remiss if I didn't point out that Kansas' economy just ranked LAST nationally. Thanks, Brownback!

David Reynolds 1 year, 7 months ago

Just a curious question: What will all of you Trump haters do if Trump wins?

Bob Forer 1 year, 7 months ago

I don't hate Trump. I hate neo-fascism.

Barb Gordon 1 year, 7 months ago

Maybe people will start wearing paper clips again.

Jonathan Becker 1 year, 7 months ago

A flash survey is a short survey that rather than contacting a person for that person's opinion, permits the person to contact the surveyor. There is no information as to location of the 346 likely voters who contacted Ft. Hays and participated in a survey. A typical flash survey is done online. Just take their word they were registered Kansas voters, because everything you read on the internet is true.

Shawn Boultinghouse 1 year, 7 months ago

The country has been heading in the wrong direction for quite a while now. I hope Trump can put a stop to all this Political Correctness stuff, build a wall to keep the illegals out and deport them as they are discovered, crush ISIS, stop all the non-white privilege, get term limits for members of Congress, get rid of Obamacare and keep the Muslim refugees from coming and doing what they have done to Europe. It's a lot to take on and I hope he is up to the challenge.

Shawn Boultinghouse 1 year, 7 months ago

I forgot to mention that I hope he can get a conservative appointed to the Supreme Court , defund Planned Parenthood and get rid of the Sanctuary Cities in this country.

Alex Landazuri 1 year, 7 months ago

so basically you want the christian version of isis?

Richard Heckler 1 year, 7 months ago

Say NO to the medical insurance industry! Demand Medicare Single Payer Insurance for all of us not only to reduce cost to consumers BUT BECAUSE it will reduce the cost of government across the board. WIN WIN !

Does the insurance industry provide health care? NO

Why then are consumers forced to pay 2000 middle money grabbers?

JILL STEIN is the ONLY candidate actively supporting Single Payer Insurance coverage for all of us no matter our political persuasions.

Bob Smith 1 year, 7 months ago

So how did your vote for Jill Stein work out yesterday?

Richard Heckler 1 year, 7 months ago

About 80 percent of Planned Parenthood’s users are over age 20, and 75 percent have incomes below 150 percent of the poverty line.

Planned Parenthood itself estimates it prevents more than 620,000 unintended pregnancies each year, and 220,000 abortions. Millions upon millions of abortions have been prevented over the years as a result of Planned Parenthood

It’s also worth noting that federal law already forbids Planned Parenthood from using the funds it receives from the government for abortions.

So though the fight over Planned Parenthood might be about abortion, Planned Parenthood itself isn’t about abortion. It’s primarily about contraception and reproductive health.

And if Planned Parenthood loses funding, what will mainly happen is that cancer screenings and contraception and STD testing will become less available to poorer people. Folks with more money, of course, have many other ways to receive all these services, and tend to get them elsewhere already.

The fight also isn’t about cutting spending. The services Planned Parenthood provides save the federal government a lot of money.

It’s somewhat cold to put it in these terms, but taxpayers end up bearing a lot of the expense for unintended pregnancies among people without the means to care for their children.

The same goes for preventable cancers and sexually transmitted diseases such as HIV/AIDS. You can find a lot more information about Planned Parenthood and its services here.

Richard Heckler 1 year, 7 months ago

If Kansas is republican why are they voting for candidates that which are not republicans such as Brownback,Moran,Yoder,Huelskamp, etc etc etc.

Richard Heckler 1 year, 7 months ago

If Kansas is republican why are Kansas citizens voting for libertarian candidates that which are not republicans such as Brownback,Moran,Yoder,Huelskamp, Lynn Jenkins etc etc etc.

The above mentioned politicians are representing the Koch party which is radical libertarian through and through. The Koch name has long history with the radical libertarian party.

The American Legislative Exchange Council aka ALEC is radical libertarian NOT fiscally responsible Republican or Democrat.

In my estimation Sam Brownback is only catholic because their are so many catholic voters and as I understand it a majority of catholics support a woman's right to choose and birth control.

Michael Kort 1 year, 7 months ago

I'll tell you what I'll do if Trump is elected .

I'll sit back and watch him dismember all of the people who supported and voted for him, which will be their just reward for buying into his mob calling .

He is basically a dictatorial sociopath and he will turn on those who support him . They always do .

It is Not a matter of if.....only a matter of When he will turn on his own .

I will not relish watching him turn on his own nor the damage that he will do to this country or our constitutional form of government but I can't control the world and I wouldn't want to control the world if I could because it is a waiste of time and basically offensive to God .

Napoleon, Hittler, Mousaline, Stalin, Mao were the bigger than life heroes to many who walked along in their ways to self destruction by drinking their cool-aid promises of greatness thru their leadership .

I'd like it if I were wrong but this walks and talks like a duck......and Americans are voting their fears, their greeds and not necessarily their common sense ! .......and the opposition candidate is compromised with political opposition going way back to the early 90s that makes for a mobbing mentality against her !......but for what ?

I hope that we will all clearly know by Wed. who will be president........or maybe I should say..... WHAT will be our president ?

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