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Opinion

Opinion

Opinion: Insurance bailout inevitable under ACA

January 4, 2014

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— First order of business for the returning Congress: The No Bailout for Insurance Companies Act of 2014.

Make it one line long: “Sections 1341 and 1342 of the Affordable Care Act are hereby repealed.”

End of bill. End of bailout. End of story.

Why do we need it? On Dec. 18, the chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers was asked what was the administration’s Plan B if, because of adverse selection (enrolling too few young and healthies), the insurance companies face financial difficulty.

Jason Furman wouldn’t bite. “There’s a Plan A,” he replied. Enroll the young.

But of course there’s a Plan B. It’s a government bailout.

Administration officials can’t say it for political reasons. And they don’t have to say it because it’s already in the Affordable Care Act, buried deep.

First, Section 1341, the “reinsurance” fund collected from insurers and self-insuring employers at a nifty $63 a head. (Who do you think the cost is passed on to?) This yields about $20 billion over three years to cover losses.

Then there is Section 1342, the “risk corridor” provision that mandates a major taxpayer payout covering up to 80 percent of insurance-company losses.

Never heard of these? That’s the beauty of passing a bill of such monstrous length. You can insert a chicken soup recipe and no one will notice.

Nancy Pelosi was right: We’d have to pass the damn thing to know what’s in it. Well, now we have and now we know.

The whole scheme was risky enough to begin with — getting enough enrollees and making sure 40 percent are young and healthy. Obamacare is already far behind its own enrollment estimates. But things have gotten worse. The administration has been changing the rules repeatedly — with every scrimmage-line audible raising costs and diminishing revenue.

First, it postponed the employer mandate. Then, it exempted from the individual mandate people whose policies were canceled (by Obamacare). And for those who did join the exchanges, Health and Human Services Secretary Kathleen Sebelius is “strongly encouraging” insurers to — during the “transition” — cover doctors and drugs not included in their clients’ plans.

The insurers were stunned. Told to give free coverage. Deprived of their best customers. Forced to offer stripped-down “catastrophic” plans to over-30 clients (contrary to the law). These dictates, complained their spokesman, could “destabilize” the insurance market.

Translation: How are we going to survive this? Shrinking revenues and rising costs could bring on the “death spiral” — an unbalanced patient pool forcing huge premium increases (to restore revenue) that would further unbalance the patient pool as the young and healthy drop out.

End result? Insolvency — before which the insurance companies will pull out of Obamacare.

Solution? A huge government bailout. It’s Obamacare’s escape hatch. And — surprise, surprise — it’s already baked into the law.

Which is why the GOP needs to act. Obamacare is a Rube Goldberg machine with hundreds of moving parts. Without viable insurance companies doing the work, it falls apart. No bailout, no Obamacare.

Such a bill would be overwhelmingly popular because Americans hate fat-cat bailouts of any kind. Why should their tax dollars be spent not only saving giant insurers but also rescuing this unworkable, unbalanced, unstable, unpopular money-pit of a health care scheme?

The GOP House should pass it and send it to Harry Reid’s Democratic Senate. Democrats know it could be fatal for Obamacare. The only alternative would be single-payer. And try selling that to the country after the spectacularly incompetent launch of — and subsequent widespread disaffection with — mere semi-nationalization.

Do you really think vulnerable Democrats up for re-election will vote for a bailout? And who better to slay Obamacare than a Democratic Senate — liberalism repudiating its most important creation of the last 50 years.

Want to be even bolder? Attach the anti-bailout bill to the debt ceiling. That and nothing else. Dare the president to stand up and say: “I’m willing to let the country default in order to preserve a massive bailout for insurance companies.”

In the past, Republicans made unrealistic and unpopular debt-ceiling demands — and lost badly. They learned their lesson. Last year, Republicans presented one simple unassailable debt-ceiling demand — that the Senate pass its first budget in four years.

Who could argue with that? The Senate capitulated within two days.

Who can argue with no bailout? Let the Senate Democrats decide — support the bailout and lose the Senate. Or oppose the bailout and bury Obamacare.

Happy New Year.

— Charles Krauthammer is a columnist for Washington Post Writers Group.

Comments

Mike Ford 3 months, 2 weeks ago

Canadians who have universal health care can go to Cuba but don't need to. Before I hear FOXNEWS repeated nonsense about Canadians coming here for care it must be stated that Canada has destructive self serving conservatives like Steven Harper who work to undermine social services much like the conservatives here. This action has caused some Canadians to come to the US but this is because the conservatives in Canada intentionally undermine the system much as conservatives do in the US. Paranoid Americans don't have the Cuba option though. My father was waiting on a liver transplant and his doctors allowed him to travel to the Czech Republic. Had he needed the liver transplant there it would've been just as good as in the US. The US would grow up so much if half of it's population thought and abandoned unnecessary paranoia. Mr.Krauthammer needs a black suit and a street corner where he can proclaim over and over "The End Times are Coming" to the willingly mislead populace.

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Bob Smith 3 months, 2 weeks ago

When it comes to international health care tourism, people are not flocking to Cuba.

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Ron Holzwarth 3 months, 2 weeks ago

What is needed is not another government handout, but a complete rethinking of the way health care is financed in the United States.

The United States ranks 3rd in total expenditure on health care, expressed as a percentage of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), according to the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA).
https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/rankorder/2225rank.html

And what do we get for spending so much money? The United States ranks 51st in life expectancy, according to the CIA!
https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/rankorder/2102rank.html

There's another way to look at health care systems, and that is to take a look at the infant mortality rate. That rate is often used as an indicator of the level of health in a country.

Instead of examining the payment and health care systems of the 49 nations that outperform ours, the administration dreamed up something totally new. Even vilified Cuba has a health care system that is superior to ours by far, according to the CIA!
https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/rankorder/2091rank.html

But at least, the United States ranks in the top 25% of all nations in the quality of health care, and we are Number One in national military expenditure and automobile ownership per capita, for sure!

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