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Archive for Thursday, November 1, 2012

GOP suggests it might lose seats in Kansas House

November 1, 2012

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— Top Republicans say Tuesday's elections could cost them a few seats in the Kansas House and reduce the influence of the chamber's GOP conservatives.

Several Republicans said Thursday this year's redrawing of political district boundaries appears to have hurt the GOP in some places, especially in the Wichita area.

And Gov. Sam Brownback said he doesn't know how much power his fellow conservatives will have after Tuesday's voting.

Republicans now hold a 92-33 majority in the House. The powerful Kansas Chamber of Commerce counts 76 as conservatives.

Meanwhile, some Democrats questioned whether Republicans are hoping to lower expectations for Tuesday's outcome so the GOP can claim victory even if it loses a few seats. State Democratic Chairwoman Joan Wagnon won't predict the future balance of power in the House.

Comments

Paul R Getto 1 year, 5 months ago

..... Republicans are hoping to lower expectations for Tuesday's outcome so the GOP can claim victory even if it loses a few seats. .....

Interesting. Let us all go vote and see what happens. Fox News is reading the polls too. They seem shrill and panicked, while they simultaneously declare the impending victory. The President's firewall seems to be holding up. It will be very hard for Romney to get to 270, regardless of the popular vote.

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George_Braziller 1 year, 5 months ago

I don't think that redrawing districts is what's going to cost the Republicans seats in the House, the ultra-conservative factions and the party in-fighting will do it. Voters on election day will let Brownie know that he has gone too far.

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Robert Burnham 1 year, 5 months ago

Obamacare Tax Hikes FOR THE 47% to keep getting their free crap!

There are twenty new or higher taxes in Obamacare. Some have already gone into effect (the tanning tax, the medicine cabinet tax, the HSA withdrawal tax, W-2 health insurance reporting, and the “economic substance doctrine”). Several more will go into effect on January 1, 2013. They include:

The Obamacare Medical Device Tax begins to be assessed on January 1, 2013. Medical device manufacturers employ 409,000 people in 12,000 plants across the country. This law imposes a new 2.3% excise tax on gross sales – even if the company does not earn a profit in a given year. Exempts items retailing for <$100.

The Obamacare Medicare Payroll Tax Hike takes effect on January 1, 2013. The Medicare payroll tax is currently 2.9 percent on all wages and self-employment profits. Starting in 2013, wages and profits exceeding $200,000 ($250,000 in the case of married couples) will face a 3.8 percent rate.

The Obamacare “Special Needs Kids Tax” comes online on January 1, 2013. Imposes a cap on FSAs of $2500 (now unlimited). Indexed to inflation after 2013. There is one group of FSA owners for whom this new cap will be particularly cruel and onerous: parents of special needs children. There are thousands of families with special needs children in the United States, and many of them use FSAs to pay for special needs education. Tuition rates at one leading school that teaches special needs children in Washington, D.C. (National Child Research Center) can easily exceed $14,000 per year. Under tax rules, FSA dollars can be used to pay for this type of special needs education. This Obamacare cap harms these families.

The Obamacare “Haircut” for Medical Itemized Deductions goes into force on January 1, 2013. Currently, those facing high medical expenses are allowed a deduction for medical expenses to the extent that those expenses exceed 7.5 percent of adjusted gross income (AGI). The new provision imposes a threshold of 10 percent of AGI. Waived for 65+ taxpayers in 2013-2016 only.

Third Wave: The Alternative Minimum Tax and Employer Tax Hikes

When Americans prepare to file their tax returns in January of 2013, they’ll be in for a nasty surprise—the AMT won’t be held harmless, and many tax relief provisions will have expired. These tax increases will be in force for BOTH 2012 and 2013. The major items include:

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Gandalf 1 year, 5 months ago

Hopefully it will be more than a few house seats. With any luck we might get a dozen democratic Senators as well. It’s amazing that the teapubs were touting the USA survey last week showing Romney with a 25 point edge in Kansas and totally ignoring the same survey this week only showing Romney with a 9 point lead. Heck at that rate Obama may carry Kansas!

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1 year, 5 months ago

"Republicans now hold a 92-33 majority in the House. The powerful Kansas Chamber of Commerce counts 76 as conservatives."

So right now, assuming that everyone who's not a conservative is opposed to them (a silly assumption, but work with me), conservatives control the chamber (and therefore every committee) 76-54. That means they would have to lose 9 seats (surely that's more than "a few") to lose control, and even then, there's no guarantee that Republicans of a less conservative stripe would act like the moderate state senators and cut the conservatives out. It is not lost on moderates, I suspect, what happens when you do that.

But you do have to wonder what the marginal utility of even more conservative Republicans is at this point. Does having 80 or 90 or even 100 conservatives make the chamber more conservative than having 76? Heck, the Democrat I voted for in my house race is both pro-life and pro-gun - she's certainly a conservative in her own words. When she's elected, she'll probably make a more conservative chamber than her GOP rival will, because she'll be a conservative in a small, liberal party rather than one more conservative in a large, already conservative one.

All that said, who cares about "claiming victory"? If the GOP loses 5 seats or 10, if the conservatives lose 1 seat or 7, it will make no difference 2 days after the election. No one but political junkies care about claims of victory; they are also the least likely to be fooled by them.

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Steve Jacob 1 year, 5 months ago

Very odd to being losing seats this year. Romney will win by such a large number here. I am very curious about the Holland-Brown race. I have had a postcard from Brown every day for a week attacking Holland, they must want him out bad. Heck, a judge had to stop the Republicans from putting Francisco and Holland in the same district.

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Fred Whitehead Jr. 1 year, 5 months ago

Nothing in the JW digital edition about Romney-Ryan

Today's horror story.....President Ryan.

Almost as frightening as President Palin

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Antonym 1 year, 5 months ago

I hope they're correct about this one. Those nutjobs need some moderation.

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