Realignment on hold, key players say: ‘You first’

? If you don’t like the realignment picture, just wait 24 hours and the outlook will change.

Or at least the perception.

After Pac-12 commissioner Larry Scott said Friday at the Arizona State-Missouri game he hoped that expansion didn’t happen, expansion was in a bear market. Things sounded more bullish Saturday night at the Utah-USC game.

Neither view was totally accurate.

“Our position hasn’t really changed, we haven’t been looking for or aspiring to expand since we made the decision on 12,” Scott told reporters in Los Angeles. “If schools are going to leave the Big 12 and there’s going to be a paradigm shift, or a landscape change as people like to describe it, we’ll go ahead and step back and look at our options, then reconsider.”

Scott correctly notes his position. Nearly a week ago, he said the Pac-12 wouldn’t be the “first mover” on expansion. His league still won’t be. It will react. Which is why the current logjam won’t be broken by Oklahoma and Oklahoma State going west, at least without something occurring first.

In other words, nothing happens until something happens.

Scott certainly doesn’t want to go first. Neither does the Big Ten.

Against this backdrop, confusion reigns. Nobody knows exactly what will happen with any kind of certainty.

Here’s what we kinda, sorta expect:

Can Texas A&M be convinced to stay?

Maybe the late, great Billy Mays could concoct a sales pitch, complete with 2-for-1 network offers. For all intents and purposes, the Aggies have checked out, mentally and emotionally. They’re merely doing time hoping for a potential jailbreak to the SEC. The only thing keeping A&M around is the threat of legal action by Baylor.

Would the Big 12 be able to move forward with nine members?

Well, that was the plan. It sounded good, especially with the forming of an expansion committee. Then Oklahoma president David Boren said the Sooners were looking at their options and everybody else began planning their exit strategy. Oklahoma still holds the key, but will the Pac-12 even be open for business?

No wonder Scott was being careful.

“We are only evaluating anything if other conferences go first,” Scott said.

He added a caveat.

“I don’t think anyone, with how dynamic the situation is, would stick their neck out and say nothing is going to change.”

So we wait.