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Archive for Friday, November 4, 2011

Biggest jump ever seen in global warming gases

November 4, 2011

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— The global output of heat-trapping carbon dioxide jumped by the biggest amount on record, the U.S. Department of Energy calculated, a sign of how feeble the world’s efforts are at slowing man-made global warming.

The new figures for 2010 mean that levels of greenhouse gases are higher than the worst case scenario outlined by climate experts just four years ago.

“The more we talk about the need to control emissions, the more they are growing,” said John Reilly, co-director of MIT’s Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change.

The world pumped about 564 million more tons of carbon into the air in 2010 than it did in 2009. That’s an increase of 6 percent. That amount of extra pollution eclipses the individual emissions of all but three countries — China, the United States and India, the world’s top producers of greenhouse gases.

It is a “monster” increase that is unheard of, said Gregg Marland, a professor of geology at Appalachian State University, who has helped calculate Department of Energy figures in the past.

Extra pollution in China and the U.S. account for more than half the increase in emissions last year, Marland said.

“It’s a big jump,” said Tom Boden, director of the Energy Department’s Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center at Oak Ridge National Lab. “From an emissions standpoint, the global financial crisis seems to be over.”

Boden said that in 2010 people were traveling, and manufacturing was back up worldwide, spurring the use of fossil fuels, the chief contributor of man-made climate change.

India and China are huge users of coal. Burning coal is the biggest carbon source worldwide and emissions from that jumped nearly 8 percent in 2010.

“The good news is that these economies are growing rapidly so everyone ought to be for that, right?” Reilly said Thursday. “Broader economic improvements in poor countries has been bringing living improvements to people. Doing it with increasing reliance on coal is imperiling the world.”

In 2007, when the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change issued its last large report on global warming, it used different scenarios for carbon dioxide pollution and said the rate of warming would be based on the rate of pollution. Boden said the latest figures put global emissions higher than the worst case projections from the climate panel.

Comments

its_just_math 2 years, 9 months ago

See, even Obama's green ideas aren't working.

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Corey Williams 2 years, 9 months ago

Ideas without implementation have no chance of success

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Carol Bowen 2 years, 9 months ago

"What needs to happen is quit having babies, especially in India and Africa."

We are not having many babies in the U.S. After the Boomer Generation, families started getting smaller. There will be fewer children in the schools and fewer seniors to collect Social Security. But, will our contribution to green house gases decrease? Probably not.

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mloburgio 2 years, 9 months ago

Economists: Coal Is Incredibly Costly Coal plants are responsible for more than one-fourth of GED [gross external damages] from the entire US economy. The damages attributed to this industry are larger than the combined GED due to the three next most polluting industries: crop production, $15 billion/year, livestock production, $15 billion/year, and construction of roadways and bridges, $13 billion/ year. http://thinkprogress.org/green/2011/09/29/332378/economists-coal-is-incredibly-costly/?utm_medium=referral&utm_source=pulsenews

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Flap Doodle 2 years, 9 months ago

But oddly enough, the temperature has remained static for the past 11 years.

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Fossick 2 years, 9 months ago

Here's a source: (second chart) http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2055191/Scientists-said-climate-change-sceptics-proved-wrong-accused-hiding-truth-colleague.html

"But today The Mail on Sunday can reveal that a leading member of Prof Muller’s team has accused him of trying to mislead the public by hiding the fact that BEST’s research shows global warming has stopped.

"Prof Judith Curry, who chairs the Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences at America’s prestigious Georgia Institute of Technology, said that Prof Muller’s claim that he has proven global warming sceptics wrong was also a ‘huge mistake’, with no scientific basis.

"Prof Curry is a distinguished climate researcher with more than 30 years experience and the second named co-author of the BEST project’s four research papers.

"Her comments, in an exclusive interview with The Mail on Sunday, seem certain to ignite a furious academic row..."

--

At some point, academics are going to stop making excuses for the failure of their models. Until that point, well, there's statistics...

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Corey Williams 2 years, 9 months ago

Yes, of course. The Daily Mail. Best of the most trusted British tabloids.
Good lord, if you would ever actually read a copy of the daily mail, you would find that it's full of absolute crap and nonsense. Next time, try a link from the enquirer. Or the new york post.

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Fossick 2 years, 9 months ago

I suspect the Enquirer is still working on the John Edwards baby story. Another example of a story the "respectable" media wouldn't touch.

The relevant questions are, "Did Judith Curry say what she is alleged to have said?" and "Does she have the expertise to be a credible source?" I think on both questions the answer is affirmative. Your mileage may vary. I rather liked that Mail story because the first part looked oh so close to the one passed on by Vertigo.

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Fossick 2 years, 9 months ago

First chart, not first part.

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Corey Williams 2 years, 9 months ago

Source is invalid.
I used to know someone who got the daily mail every saturday and sometimes sunday. 1/4 sports, 1/2 celebrity, and the rest pure schlock.
That paper was a horrible read.

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Corey Williams 2 years, 9 months ago

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/ushome/index.html

Here you go. Look for the journalistic integrity for yourself.

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james bush 2 years, 9 months ago

OMG the sky really is falling...............time for another end-of-world prediction. Maybe Al Gore will make this one. What BS!

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just_another_bozo_on_this_bus 2 years, 9 months ago

"OMG the sky really is falling"

You should watch less Fox News.

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somedude20 2 years, 9 months ago

Nice to see who the fools are!!! I mean really, who needs science when you have "faith" in ghosts

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Getaroom 2 years, 9 months ago

  • 1,00000000000000000. Some of that gas is surely escaping from every orifice of the deniers, if the LJW blog is any measure and it seems it is. it's_just_math's DVR told him Obama caused this global warming so it must be true. Tin foil is on aisle 17... math and ...snappy.
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tbaker 2 years, 9 months ago

Antarctic Sea Ice for March 1980 and 2010.

National Snow and Ice Data Center, University of Colorado

1980: 2.0 million sq km 2010: 2.6 million sq km

Sea ice is caused by cold air, not snow.

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jafs 2 years, 9 months ago

According to skepticalscience.com, that fact is true, but it's misleading, and it doesn't mean what the anti-climate change people would like it to mean.

If you want a more detailed analysis, google "antarctic sea ice march 2010" and click on the skeptical science link.

In my experience with these claims, that seems to be the usual outcome - the more you learn, the less the anti-arguments make sense.

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tbaker 2 years, 9 months ago

Fact is, the University of Colorado either doesn't think it is misleading, or they must be full of "deniers" and don't care. Have you been to the Boulder campus? You won't find a lot of conservative view points there.

These dopey global warming blog posts always turn into subjective arguments over the quality of sources. When the same scientists whose crowing about global warming I am suppose to believe can tell me what ended the last ice age (the last time the earth warmed up) then I will start paying attention to what they are saying now. In the mean time - yawn....

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preebo 2 years, 9 months ago

Here's subjectivity for you. As an alumnus from CU's Environmental Science program and a former intern at NCAR (the group who carried out this study) I have to take issue with your assertion. Your argument uses data with no context, allow me to provide the context for you.

http://www2.ucar.edu/news/5124/arctic-ice-melt-could-pause-near-future-then-resume-again

Hopefully this will shed some light for those who are interested in real data and tangible science.

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Richard Heckler 2 years, 9 months ago

Ozone is a gas that occurs both in the Earth's upper atmosphere and at ground level. Ozone can be "good" or "bad" for people's health and for the environment, depending on its location in the atmosphere. For an overview of both ozone issues, see Good Up High, Bad Nearby.

Ground-level Ozone In the troposphere, the air closest to the Earth's surface, ground-level or "bad" ozone is a pollutant that is a significant health risk, especially for children with asthma. It also damages crops, trees and other vegetation. It is a main ingredient of urban smog.

* Basic information about ground-level ozone including EPA’s National Ambient Air Quality Standards for ground-level ozone pollution
* AirNow: Current ground level ozone levels where you live

http://www.epa.gov/ozone/

Stratospheric Ozone The stratosphere, or "good" ozone layer extends upward from about 6 to 30 miles and protects life on Earth from the sun's harmful ultraviolet (UV) rays. This natural shield has been gradually depleted by man-made chemicals like chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs). A depleted ozone shield allows more UV radiation to reach the ground, leading to more cases of skin cancer, cataracts, and other health and environmental problems.

* Basic information about stratospheric ozone
* UV Index: Current forecasts of UV intensity where you live
* SunWise: Information on protecting yourself from UV rays

http://www.epa.gov/ozone/

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pace 2 years, 9 months ago

Part of the problem is corrupt government, in the pocket of polluters, I am so ashamed the State of Kansas was accused and found to be lying in court so they could deliver on back door promise to Coal Power Plant, Not only is coal not clean, neither is Kansas. Brownback leads against regulation of the Energy powers. He should resign. The corruption of KDHE is an infection that threatens all Kansans. Brownback has sold clean air and clean water protection and gave tax cuts to them , The cuts to the wealthiest fall on the back of every working family in this state.

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