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Archive for Sunday, October 31, 2010

Resurgent GOP closes in on House victory

October 31, 2010

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— Resurgent Republicans appear poised to capture control of the House if not the Senate on Tuesday in elections midway through President Barack Obama’s term, reaping a rich harvest of voter discontent with the economy and profound public skepticism about the future.

Drawing strength from the clamorous tea party movement, the GOP also is in line to wrest governorships from Democrats in all regions of the country, according to political strategists in both parties and public opinion polls. Big-state races in Florida, Ohio, Illinois and California remain intensely competitive into the campaign’s final hours.

Republicans must gain 40 seats to win control of the House and 10 to take the Senate. A victory in either case would spell the end of a two-year stretch in which Democrats controlled the White House and held comfortable majorities in both houses of Congress.

With unemployment at 9.6 percent nationally and economic growth anemic, as many as 100 seats appeared competitive or ripe for turnover in the 435-member House — a list that included two dozen or more already given up for lost by the Democrats.

After absorbing thrashings at the hands of voters in 2006 and 2008, Republicans guarded against public displays of overconfidence. In private, though, their debate was not whether they would win a House majority, but the size of the victory margin.

“Ladies and gentlemen, your government hasn’t been listening,” said Rep. John Boehner of Ohio, the Republican in line to become speaker of the House. “Your government is disrespecting you, your family, your job, your children. Your government is out of control. Do you have to accept it? Do you have to take it? Hell no you don’t. That’s what elections are for!” he said at a late-campaign rally in Ohio.

Publicly, Democrats betrayed no expectation that their House majority was at an end. Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., turned aside any and all questions about the possibility of a night that would end her four-year tenure as the first female speaker in history.

But there was nothing bullish about the Democrats’ late-campaign pronouncements.

“While there is some evidence that the Democrats’ efforts are starting to pay off, the party still has ground to cover,” said an Oct. 27 memo from Anzalone Lizst Research, a Democratic polling firm.

The ubiquitous polls were maddeningly inconsistent on many points. But most agreed that voters preferred Republicans over Democrats in hypothetical matchups, one key indicator of voting behavior, and also that independents were swinging back to the GOP for the first time since President George W. Bush’s re-election in 2004.

An Associated Press-GfK poll taken Oct. 13-18 found 59 percent of voters thought the country was heading in the wrong direction.

Republicans campaigned as advocates of tax cuts to stimulate the economy and promised at the same time to cut federal spending, tackle the deficit and reduce the reach of the government in general, though they offered few specifics.

In rebuttal, Democrats said Republicans had wrecked the economy once and were promising a return to the same policies they had pursued before.

Whatever the outcome, the election was the costliest at any midterm in history — and one of the coarsest.

The incomplete tab was $3.6 billion and growing, with final disclosure reports not required until after Election Day. That included spending by candidates, the political parties and independent organizations, including one, Crossroads GPS, with a sterling Republican pedigree that raised tens of millions from anonymous donors and spent it attacking Democratic candidates.

Comments

Flap Doodle 3 years, 5 months ago

It's most amusing that the voters in Illinois have scorned Barry's best bud and placed a Republican in the Senate.

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Jimo 3 years, 5 months ago

I note that Rasmussen's polling seems to have been grossly incorrect, consistently overstating GOP numbers on average by 3-4 points.

Indeed, in what is being dubbed already as "Worst Poll of the Year" Rassmussen's Hawaii Senate poll showed a 13 point Democrat lead. That was fairly close to the 51 point Democrat victory: http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/hawaii/election_2010_hawaii_senate

Wonder if they'll note this on Fox News? If not, how will anyone know?

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Jimo 3 years, 5 months ago

Travelling today in one of those states where a GOP upset was a given - until the GOP nominated the most extreme nutjob imaginable. (Hint: not the one with the witch that believe in human brains in mice.)

Auction Day turned out generally okay.

Jubilant Democrats are already chuckling at the quick efforts of "anonymous" donors calling in their purchased access and marking their calendars with key dates when the "Tea Party" people will lose their virginity: the day they put out a budget that doesn't balance, the day they realize there's little easy to cut (unless you want to become radioactively unpopular - only 700 days to the polls!), the ability of the Dems in the Senate to impede anything they don't like from coming to a vote, the cruel reality of a Presidential veto.

I'd like to think that all could set down and horse trade. $700B in more deficit to cover tax cuts for billionaires in return for $700B in more deficit to cover part of the missing stimulus that Pelosi won't be able to earmark for her special interest constituents. Maybe a modest program that trade unemployment checks for the long-term unemployed for paychecks by government direct hiring (here's a hoe, there's the national forest trail, get rid of the sagebrush for the next 2 miles). Sadly, extremists in either Party are unlikely to allow such moderation.

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KimJungUn 3 years, 5 months ago

How will Nancy be able to pass more bills so we can see what is in them?

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Roland Gunslinger 3 years, 5 months ago

First term backlashes are hardly rare. In fact it's actually the norm.

Here's the change in House seats during the midterm elections on a first term president since 1900: http://voices.washingtonpost.com/ezra-klein/assets_c/2010/08/first-term_presidential_midterms_since_1900-thumb-454x274-23964.png

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KimJungUn 3 years, 5 months ago

I feel sorry for pelosi, Mr. Pelosi

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CreatureComforts 3 years, 5 months ago

CNN just announced Repubs take control of House...

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KimJungUn 3 years, 5 months ago

The first time in years I enjoyed voting. Liked the GOP candidates and see a chance for a sweep. So excited I have to share with all of you here in Lawrence.

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Tom Shewmon 3 years, 5 months ago

HOORAY!!!

First Tea Party win----Rand Paul takes it in KY!!

Buh-bye deleterious progressive agenda.

(Dean Scream??)

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ShePrecedes 3 years, 5 months ago

I am not at all sure this is the case:

http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE6A04A620101102 Tea Party-backed Republicans spur U.S. party switches

By Ellen Wulfhorst NEW YORK | Tue Nov 2, 2010 2:00pm EDT (Reuters) – For lifelong Republican Joe Errigo, deciding to cross party lines and support a liberal Democrat for New York governor wasn’t nearly as difficult as one might expect.

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rockchalk1977 3 years, 5 months ago

In related news:

Obama's great escape trip to India will cost US taxpayers $200 Million per day. The Great One will take 800 people in 40 aircraft requiring 570 rooms in the Taj Mahal for 10 days. And you libs are worried about Republican control of congress? Clearly Obama is going to "get his" while he is President.

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Liberty_One 3 years, 5 months ago

Regardless of the outcome of today's elections, the results will be the same: The economy will be planned. The debt will increase. The saber will rattle. The empire will expand.

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Agnostick 3 years, 5 months ago

Wow... cato sure loves his little Godwin...

cato whines about "government control over our health care, the kinds of light bulbs we can use, what radio entertainment will be available to us, the kinds of cars we can drive, the kinds of appliances that we can buy, how much energy we can consume and even what we can eat."

Let's see...

  • I have the same health care today that I did 24 months ago. I don't see that changing anytime soon.

  • Saw plenty of light bulbs over at the hardware store the other day. All kinds.

  • Radio? Proud XM subscriber here. By my own choice.

  • We bought a car last year... our choice.

  • I bought a Ninja Master Prep Pro a couple of weeks back... does that count as an appliance? I researched it thoroughly at my wife's behest, and we're very pleased so far! No calls from the White House yet, though the Obamas can stop by for pina coladas anytime they like. I'll whip up a couple of alcohol-free drinks for the girls. ;)

  • I try to keep our monthly energy bill at a reasonable level. Not because someone is telling me to do so, but because I'd rather have more money for drinks, I suppose.

  • Made some nice salsa with the Ninja, using the last of the tomatoes from the local farmers market. Does that count as "food?"

cato, you suggest that HMcMellon check his/her meds. I suspect you're somewhat religious, so I'll just recommend a bit of the ol' "good book" for you...

Luke 6:42

Matthew 7:3

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Flap Doodle 3 years, 5 months ago

I sit corrected. Georgie is an American citizen.

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Flap Doodle 3 years, 5 months ago

Soros isn't an American citizen, is he? That would make it difficult to class him as a traitor to America. It's kinda funny to think of how much money he whizzed away trying keep Presdient Bush from being reelected. But, bash on, you'll need something to console yourself over the pounding the Democrats are getting today.

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Tom Shewmon 3 years, 5 months ago

McMellon has no problem with the multi-millions that far-left America hating billionaire George Soros has pumped into the Democratic party over the past several election cycles through far-left front groups such as moveon, NPR or mediamatters.

Have some more Kool-Aid my brainwashed friend.

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75x55 3 years, 5 months ago

My my my.

Meltdowns are so....disappointing.

Buck up, little soldiers! Wait until Wednesday morning at least.

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ShePrecedes 3 years, 5 months ago

Yes, I cannot help but remember that these are the same people that screamed for the senseless and poorly-planned, poorly-implemented, and poorly-evaluated invasion and occupation of Iraq. I cannot, will not accept these people as representatives of quality and of critical thinking.

What happened in Iraq was atrocities!!! Bush was a total loser. And you want more of this losing trend in our Government.

And gawd dame it, The dems are not much better than the GOP in how horrible they rule!!!

Besides what difference does it make who is in the Congress? The CIA runs the country anyway, and they are merely a tool for some group that is unelected, and not totally American.

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notajayhawk 3 years, 5 months ago

"I can't believe how much money the Koch brothers and other anonymous, mostly-foreign-owned, multi-national corps are putting into this election."

Just a thought, melon: How, pray tell, do you know the identity and/or nationality and/or corporate structure of these anonymous donors?

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cato_the_elder 3 years, 5 months ago

HMcMellon, in your studies of Nazi Germany you may want to consider what the word "Nazi" stands for. It's the first two syllables of the word "Nationalsozialismus," as pronounced in German, which itself is the first German word in "National Socialist Workers' Party," or NSDAP. It's Obama's attempts to inflict his own fascist brand of national socialism on America that will be causing a whole lotta folks to be going to the polls on Tuesday.

By the way, I don't pay any attention to TV commercials of the sort of which you complain, and my strong opposition to Obama's own brand of fascism will not prevent me from voting for Steve Six, who has done a fine job as Attorney General and deserves re-election by his fellow Kansans.

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HMcMellon 3 years, 5 months ago

I can't believe how much money the Koch brothers and other anonymous, mostly-foreign-owned, multi-national corps are putting into this election. I just watched six anti-Steve Six commercials mixed in with seven for Brownback, two for Jenkins, four anti-Biggs commercails and none for any of the Democratic candidates. Since it was the Republicans who shipped all the jobs to China and Mexico and caused the recession, it is amazing that people are such mindless robots that they will now vote for candidates being bankrolled by the very banks and corporate interests that stole their retirement funds, caused the value of their homes to plummet, and now have plans to steal their Social Security and Medicare. Watching corporate fascism take over in America has made me better understand what went down in Nazi Germany in the 1930s.

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Ray Parker 3 years, 5 months ago

Party like it's 1773, you betcha!

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