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Archive for Sunday, November 7, 2010

Generation scarred: Young workers’ careers to carry lifelong scars of Great Recession

November 7, 2010

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— As the nation struggles with the aftermath of the Great Recession, few groups have suffered greater setbacks or face greater long-term damage than young Americans — damage that could shadow their entire working lives.

Unemployment for 20- to 24-year-olds hit a record high of more than 17 percent earlier this year. Even for young adults with college degrees, the jobless rate has averaged 9.3 percent this year, double the figure for older graduates, according to the Labor Department.

Adding to the impact, surveys by the Pew Research Center indicate, a greater share of workers in their 20s lost hours or were cut down to part-time status than any other age group. And their incomes have fallen more sharply, even as they are far more likely than others to say they are working harder than ever.

“These are young workers just trying to establish a connection to work, and it will cause permanent damage to long-term pay. This crisis has the potential for scarring,” said Ron Blackwell, chief economist at the AFL-CIO.

The effect of the recession is reflected in the fact that many young Americans who started out living independently are moving back home with their parents because they are unable to survive financially.

Also, new Census Bureau figures show that couples increasingly are postponing marriage and parenthood, waiting for their financial prospects to improve. Meanwhile, more young families are falling into poverty.

“It makes you almost want to cry for the future of our country,” said Andrew Sum, director of the Center for Labor Market Studies at Northeastern University in Boston.

These developments, beyond their effects on individuals, are harbingers of significant and painful changes for the whole country.

For decades, adult life, especially for college graduates, began with entry-level jobs that paid well and promised even better things to come. Those bright prospects encouraged young workers to go out on their own, marry and start families — bolstering the overall economy.

But now, with so many unemployed or underemployed — and others underwater on their mortgages or with little hope of buying houses of their own — the spending they once provided simply isn’t there now.

Moreover, low starting pay means that future earnings probably will be depressed as well because most workers see their incomes increase slowly and steadily over the course of their careers, not in big jumps.

In the near term, young adults’ lower earnings and slower rates of family formation will hurt the still-depressed housing market and crimp consumer spending, which accounts for 70 percent of the U.S. economy.

In the long run, it could shape the way a whole generation saves and invests, with far-reaching consequences for businesses and the economy.

Young adults, for example, may be less prone to buy stocks because they have been shell-shocked by the recession, said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics.

He recalled how when he encouraged his own college-age son to put some money in the markets, the advice was met with incredulity. “It dawned on me,” Zandi said, “that’s his world. In the last 10 years, stock prices have gone nowhere.”

Young adults remain very hopeful that things will get better, surveys show, but many face daunting debts that are forcing them to further curtail spending now.

In the two years before the recession, adults younger than 35 were borrowing so heavily — especially for education — that their savings rates ran in the negative teens, according to Moody’s analysis of Federal Reserve data.

Since the middle of last year, they have become the most prodigious savers of all age groups, socking away 8 percent or more of their after-tax incomes.

“We need them to drive housing demand and consumer spending,” Zandi said.

Comments

booyalab 4 years, 1 month ago

No mention of the preponderance of worthless college majors, like communications, sports marketing, and..my personal favorite...art therapy.

llama726 4 years, 1 month ago

Yep, kids should all just be business majors.

booyalab 4 years, 1 month ago

A business major is one of the worst. Most colleges are hideous models for business. But then daddy's usually paying for it, so what do they care?

Hard science- based, engineering and technical degrees are the only majors worth anything. Otherwise you got a slip of paper that proves someone spent $40,000 so you could spend 4 years getting drunk and becoming proficient in collegese.

Flap Doodle 4 years, 1 month ago

How's that hopenchange working out for you?

llama726 4 years, 1 month ago

I love how you guys can't stop cheerleading for two seconds. Did Obama cause the recession? No, most of the jobs lost were lost in the last months of Bush's presidency. Stop blaming Obama. Businesses employ people. Obama can't go hire everyone, or people cry Communism. The jobs that our corporations outsource are not coming back. The American workforce simply has to accept that the market wills that 10% of Americans not have jobs because they're unwilling to be exploited in the same way as workers overseas are, and our businesses are not going to be punished for their actions in creating this mess (or, again, that's socialism).

We want small government in this country. We'd rather bow to the corporation.

kernal 4 years, 1 month ago

Maybe the writer of this editorial should discuss this with those who survived the Great Depression and twenty plus years later made great successes of their lives. Some of those same people also fought in and survived WWII and are now referred to as the Greatest Generation. And, yes, I know not everyone survived the Great Depression well.

Everyone expects everything to be fixed at once, to happen at once, to get everything they desire right now! Throw in a little foot stomping there for emphasis. Well, too bad, cause real life doesn't work that way.

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