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Archive for Sunday, May 16, 2010

Poll: Voters tilt toward Democrats

May 16, 2010

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— People want Democrats to control Congress after this fall’s elections, a shift from April, according to an Associated Press-GfK poll released Saturday. But the margin is thin and there’s a flashing yellow light for incumbents of both parties: Only about one-third want their own lawmakers re-elected.

The tenuous 45 percent to 40 percent preference for a Democratic Congress reverses the finding a month ago on the same question: 44 percent for Republicans and 41 percent for Democrats. The new readout came as the economy continued showing signs of improvement and the tumultuous battle over the health care law that President Barack Obama finally signed in March faded into the background.

“To the extent that Democrats can focus on job creation rather than health care, they tend to do better,” said Jack Pitney, a political scientist at California’s Claremont McKenna College.

Democrats hold a 254-177 majority over Republicans in the House, with four vacancies, while Democrats control 59 of the Senate’s 100 seats, counting support from two independents. Despite those disadvantages, the GOP has gained political momentum in recent months and its leaders hope to win control of at least one chamber of Congress this November.

Compared with the last AP-GfK poll in April, the survey showed Republicans losing some support among married women, a key component of many GOP victories. Democrats picked up ground among young and rural voters.

“I’m a new Democrat,” said Harley Smithson, 51, of Baltimore, who said he had recently switched from the GOP. “I want to be with a party that’s for something instead of against everything.”

Even so, the poll underscores that the political environment remains ominous for Democrats.

Just 35 percent say the country is heading in the right direction, the lowest measured by the AP-GfK survey since a week before Obama took office in January 2009.

His approval rating remains at 49 percent, as low as it’s been since he become president.

Congressional Democrats win approval from only 37 percent, though congressional Republicans score an even drearier 31 percent.

Comments

just_another_bozo_on_this_bus 4 years, 7 months ago

The message-- Democrats suck. Republicans really suck.

tomatogrower 4 years, 7 months ago

Is it true that there was an Oskie high school principal who used to take trouble makers into his office, offer them a cigarette, and just shoot the breeze? Never any discipline?

Calliope877 4 years, 7 months ago

I don't recall there being such a principal. All the principals I remember were jack@sses. oskiejackie is typical of most the numbskulls live in Oskie, though.

Stuart Evans 4 years, 7 months ago

I believe every high school had the legendary principal that was soft on punishment and strong on kickassedness. The key word however is legend. Maybe once, somewhere.

scott3460 4 years, 7 months ago

Stand by for hysterical antics by the right wingers

scott3460 4 years, 7 months ago

Your poll also notes the narrowing of preferences to the closest point in some time. Does that not also offer a glimpse at voter reaction to the environmental, financial and overall impact of right wing policies?

scott3460 4 years, 7 months ago

The mainstream media has been trumpeting for months the impending doom of the Democrats in the upcoming elections - a conventional wisdom that has, I gather, not gone unnoticed by you. That the mainstream corporate media's propaganda does not now square with the emerging view of the American public is, indeed, news. And welcome at that.

grammaddy 4 years, 7 months ago

Just because it didn't come from Faux Noise, doesn't mean it isn't accurate.

puddleglum 4 years, 7 months ago

but fox news reports fair and balanced news-they even say so on their own commercials.

I loved watching the obama election on Fox news. that was sweet.

Stuart Evans 4 years, 7 months ago

Tom, the media is doing exactly what it's supposed to do. These people take their orders from the same place the president does. the political fighting, the foreign skirmishes, the economic downturn..all little tools of the puppetmasters. If we didn't have one another to fight with, we'd seek them out. these distracting games of the media are working just fine.

headdoctor 4 years, 7 months ago

Are you saying the puppet masters are the Illuminati or something along the line of the old Renaissance rich like the Bilderbergers? I am just checking. I want to keep current with the most modern conspiracy theory. All this time I thought the biggest problem was the Bonesmen.

beatrice 4 years, 7 months ago

You set the joke up, but how did you know you were going to be able to use the punchline so quickly? Funny stuff, good for an honest laugh.

Richard Heckler 4 years, 7 months ago

Is it any wonder?

Who has history with financial institutions going south such as the savings and loan scandal? Republicans! http://rationalrevolution0.tripod.com/war/bush_family_and_the_s.htm ======= This type of activity needs investigated: http://www.commondreams.org/views04/0208-05.htm http://www.inthesetimes.com/article/4120/we_arm_the_world/

======== McCain: The Most Reprehensible of the Keating Five. The story of "the Keating Five" has become a scandal rivaling Teapot Dome and Watergate ... http://www.phoenixnewtimes.com/1989-11-29/news/mccain-the-most-reprehensible-of-the-keating-five/1 ========= "Good Billions After Bad" - One Year After Wall Street Bailout, Pulitzer Winners Barlett and Steele Investigate Where All the Money Went === It’s been exactly one year since the onset of the financial crisis and the passage of the Bush administration’s $700 billion bailout of Wall Street. But what were the factors in deciding who received bailout funds? And what happened to all the money? The answer to those two simple questions is: We don’t know. In a new article in Vanity Fair, the Pulitzer Prize-winning investigative team Donald Barlett and James Steele try to find an answer. The problem is, they write, “once the money left the building, the government lost all track of it.”

http://www.democracynow.org/2009/9/10/good_billions_after_bad_one_year

CRIME: Who hosted the Iran Contra secret illegal sale of weapons? Republicans! http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/nsa/publications/irancontra/irancon.html

http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/amex/reagan/peopleevents/pande08.html

CRIME: Who brought the nation Iran Contra number 2? Republicans! http://www.democracynow.org/2008/3/5/iran_contra_20_how_the_bush ===== CRIME: Which party illegally spied on the democrats to win an election? Republicans! Watergate! http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/special/watergate/index.html ===== CRIME: Which party held secret energy meetings and refused our elected officials its' content and who attended? GW Bush and the republicans! ===== CRIME: Which party lied to congress and the world,went against military advice and created the worst strategic blunder in the history of the USA aka Iraq War? Republican Party! http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/10348418/ ===== Which party has held secret oil deals with Saudi Arabia? Republicans! http://www.democracynow.org/2004/4/20/did_bush_cut_secret_oil_deal ===== CRIME: Secret Oil deals for Iraq Oil- Republicans! http://www.pubrecord.org/nationworld/262.html?task=view

Flap Doodle 4 years, 7 months ago

Woo hoo! An Iran/Contra link sighting. Haven't seen that one is at least three days. Way to go, merrill!

Flap Doodle 4 years, 7 months ago

Should I pull a beo & go off in a huff, swearing that I'm not coming back? 'cause that worked soooooo well for you.

beatrice 4 years, 7 months ago

Beo could always just get removed, then have to come back using a different name as you did.

Could you be more petty?

Mike Ford 4 years, 7 months ago

uhoh shewmon, polls are going against you, uhoh

Mike Ford 4 years, 7 months ago

stand on the corner yelling shewmon, there are probably some more deniers of the religious ilk agreeing with you; corner preachers always preach fear and reality don't they?

Flap Doodle 4 years, 7 months ago

Martha Coakley thought she had a sure thing going when she wanted to slide into what used to be Teddy K's Senate seat...

scott3460 4 years, 7 months ago

Actually the polls were pretty accurate and most observant watchers knew for several weeks that she was fading hard and would not win. The shift observed in the most recent polling should be of concern to you right wingers. Better drag out some G,G&F tactics pronto.

Flap Doodle 4 years, 7 months ago

Uh, I said that Martha thought she'd be in like Flynn. Dear Leader even took a break from his golf schedule to stump for her. How'd that work out for him?

scott3460 4 years, 7 months ago

You could argue it help immensely. He quit playing footsie with the right and started getting down to business.

ivalueamerica 4 years, 7 months ago

It really could be the time for the Republicans, but every time they get some momentum, the far right mistakes that as support for extremism and splits with middle America and they shoot their own feet.

The far right does so much to damage America that they energize the moderates against them, swinging the vote to Moderate Democrats and progressive Republicans.

ivalueamerica 4 years, 7 months ago

except for some facts...but since when have facts ever come out of your fingers.

There is a lot more accommodation and reconciliation with the Democrats between the moderates and the progressives, unlike the Republicans.

I am not saying it does not happen in both parties, we did it to Lieberman and I was ashamed of my party for that, but you would have to be a serious level of blind and ignorant to pretend it is not a lot more pronounced and extreme between the neocons and moderate conservatives. In fact is as getting close to an all out civil war within the party

Of course, I answered my own question about why you ignore the facts...when I said "you would have to be a serious level of blind and ignorant to pretend it is not"

TopJayhawk 4 years, 7 months ago

Let's hope the GOP wins one house. We need a deadlocked Wahsington. Anything to limit the Damage that the Obamanation can do.

Cait McKnelly 4 years, 7 months ago

Which was pretty much the thinking of the nation when they elected a Democratically controlled Congress under GWB's second term.

Stuart Evans 4 years, 7 months ago

yet they didn't stop Bush from doing anything....

Cait McKnelly 4 years, 7 months ago

As stated above by the very first poster; the poll is saying the Democrats suck but the Republicans really suck. Believe me, the far left isn't doing nearly as much damage to the Democrats as the far right is doing to their party. Part of that has to do with the fact that the far left doesn't identify with the Democratic Party to begin with. The far right still does. People really do laugh at the Tea Party and no real thinking person takes Sarah Palin seriously anymore. I just recently visited Tennessee, a state that, despite Al Gore, identifies itself as Republican and where racism is still alive and kicking. The people I talked to there were hard pressed to answer some questions, though, specifically how Texas has revised American History (although not one of the original thirteen colonies TN was still one of the first states admitted to the Union and the home of Andrew Jackson, whom they revere) and the root cause of the Gulf oil spill. They hate Obama, not because of his politics, but because he's black and they will admit as such. But give them a white moderate and they'll go for it, whichever party.

Cait McKnelly 4 years, 7 months ago

I was in the east in Chattanooga and yes, people there DO freely admit that racism is alive. And yes, I did mean Texas. I was talking to them about the Texas School Board scrubbing Jefferson from their curriculum.

jafs 4 years, 7 months ago

One has the freedom to vote for the candidate of their choice, or to not vote, in this country.

However, are you saying that you think it's good for the country for people to vote on the basis of race or gender?

Cait McKnelly 4 years, 7 months ago

Not at all. I was simply pointing out that to that region race IS a factor.I don't think it's good but just like arguing with Tom, arguing with people who have beliefs set in stone isn't going to get anywhere. They were polite enough to come right out and admit it. I was polite enough to not pressure them on it and piss them off. I was there for three days. Not much I can do to combat a pervasive belief of years standing in that amount of time.

jafs 4 years, 7 months ago

My response was to TS' post.

Not sure why it showed up after yours.

cowboy 4 years, 7 months ago

current polls are virtually identical to the pre - election polling of 2008.

Kirk Larson 4 years, 7 months ago

Democrats are liars; republicans are lying hypocrites.

BigDog 4 years, 7 months ago

Generic polls six months from the election means very little for either Party as a whole. Now for individual candidates that are incumbents they can mean alot.

There are several long-time incumbents of both Parties whose current poll numbers are not good at all. If you are a long-term Congressman/Senator and polls have you significantly down right now ...... you better start worrying, a lot.

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