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It’s going to be a bad night’; Latest forecast calls for ice accumulation and 4”-7” of snow

February 20, 2010, 12:00 a.m. Updated February 21, 2010, 1:07 a.m.

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Overnight weather for February 19, 2010

The temperatures will hover around freezing throughout the night tonight and into the day tomorrow as a winter storm moves toward the area. It won't rain all day but there will probably be a damp chill in the air. Enlarge video

City crews prepare for more winter weather

City crews are readying the plows and street treatments for the possibility of more winter weather this weekend. The plows will not be deployed unless at least three inches of snow accumulates in the city. Enlarge video

Kansas weather updates, via Twitter

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Send us your winter weather photos, and we'll feature them online, in the Journal-World and on Sunflower Broadband's Channel 6 News. You can also e-mail them to editor@ljworld.com. Please include your name.

1:06 a.m.

Despite varying estimates, the Lawrence area can still expect significant snow accumulation — 4-7 inches — today, said 6News Meteorologist Matt Miller. A winter storm warning also remains in effect until 6 a.m. Monday, according to the National Weather Service.

Miller said the snow accumulation will occur during the day today, tapering off by the evening. The ice from Saturday night and early this morning — up to an inch — should stick around, thanks to below-freezing temperatures throughout the morning.

Miller warned of potentially hazardous road conditions throughout today.

Temperatures are expected to remain in the 20s and 30s through Monday night, when they’ll dip to the teens, before warming up to highs in the mid-30s on Tuesday.

— Shaun Hittle

9:58 p.m.

The snow continues to fall in Lawrence and the temperatures are dipping below freezing.

Roads in Douglas County are wet and slick in some spots, but emergency dispatchers said no roads in particular were more hazardous than others. There have been numerous reports in Douglas and surrounding counties of cars sliding off the roads, though most of the activity took place about 6 p.m.

The National Weather Service is currently predicting occasional periods of wintry mix or freezing rain, which will continue to make driving more difficult. The NWS advises staying off the roads if at all possible.

Winds are also expected to pick up into Sunday afternoon, making the possible 4 to 7 inches of snowfall more troublesome for travelers. Snow is expected to subside by Sunday evening.

8:30 p.m.

While the National Weather Service scaled back snowfall estimates for the area from 4 to 7 inches to 2 to 4 inches, 6News Meteorologist Matt Miller said recent computer models show the Lawrence area can still expect 4 to 7 inches of snow on Sunday.

Tonight, Miller said to expect ice and freezing drizzle. "I think it's going to be a bad night," he said.

The ice will stick thanks to above-freezing temperatures Sunday morning, followed by the heavy snowfall throughout the day, tapering off by Sunday evening.

4:10 p.m.

The most recent bulletin from National Weather Service calls for snow accumulation totals ranging from 2 to 4 inches in an area of northern Kansas that includes Lawrence. The most dangerous part of this weekend's storm could be ice, as ice accumulation is projected to fall in the range of 1/10th of an inch to 1 inch.

Precipitation should pick up intensity later tonight. The heaviest period of snowfall is projected to come Sunday afternoon.

The National Weather Service warns that travel could be very hazardous or impossible because of the significant ice accumulation.

11:30 a.m.

The National Weather Service has upgraded Douglas and surrounding counties to a winter storm warning running through 6 a.m. Monday.

The most recent forecast calls for widespread precipitation beginning tonight and continuing through Sunday afternoon before tapering off Sunday night. The most significant precipitation is expected to fall early Sunday morning through mid-afternoon Sunday.

Anywhere from 4 to 7 inches of snow accumulation is expected along with some sleet in the area south of Interstate 70. Blowing snow and snowpacked roads will create poor driving conditions from dawn Sunday morning through at least Sunday evening.

4:09 a.m.

The light rain that had been falling has stopped for the time being but is expected to continue later in the day Saturday.

The National Weather Service is suggesting the precipitation that begins falling Saturday afternoon will turn to snow and sleet by Saturday night, which is what 6News meteorologist Matt Elwell was also predicting.

Temperatures are supposed to stay near freezing, currently expected to be about 31 degrees. Elwell said the temperatures will play a large role in just how much snow will accumulate in the area. The temperatures aren't expected to drop until Sunday evening, when the majority of the storm has already passed.

Driving conditions during the weekend will depend on temperatures too. Conditions will most likely be wet, with slick areas possible. If the snow sticks on the ground, be on the lookout for snowpacked and icy roadways.

12:00 a.m.

A winter storm watch issued by the National Weather Service in Topeka will go into effect Saturday evening for Douglas and surrounding counties.

According to 6News meteorologist Matt Elwell, the amount of snow that accumulates in Lawrence will depend heavily on the temperatures during the weekend. Elwell predicted the Lawrence area could see anywhere from 2"-4" of snow accumulation between Saturday evening and early Monday morning.

5:28 p.m. Friday

Another round of winter weather is on its way to northeast Kansas.

The National Weather Service announced a winter storm watch for Douglas County and surrounding areas beginning Saturday evening.

According to 6News meteorologist Matt Elwell, the weekend forecast is complex, with temperatures dictating how much snowfall Douglas County will receive. Elwell said he expected 2 to 4 inches of accumulation during the snowstorm, which could last from overnight Saturday until the predawn hours Monday.

“It’s going to stay as rain Saturday evening with temperatures near the freezing mark,” Elwell said. “Overnight we could see snow start to move in, and Sunday I think we will completely turn over to snow.”

The heaviest snowfall should arrive in Lawrence between noon and 8 p.m. Sunday, along with a good chance for blowing snow and winds as strong as 20 mph, Elwell said.

The city of Lawrence plans to resume 24-hour snow removal operations at noon Saturday, according to assistant public works director Mark Thiel. Lawrence conducted road treatment operations between midnight and 6 p.m. Friday in anticipation of a storm that brought mostly rain.

The rainy forecast leading into this storm could make road treatment tricky for city crews.

“The bad part is rain precludes us from any pre-treatment because the water just washes it into the storm sewers,” Thiel said.

The city’s snow removal and ice control policy along with maps of snow removal routes can be found at lawrenceks.org/public_works/snow_ice.

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Comments

fabian_zimbabwe 4 years, 11 months ago

March 20...a good date to keep front of mind; that's the first day of spring, and while good weather is not guaranteed, at least it will "officially" no longer be winter. Gotta go with every psychological advantage I can muster.

Boston_Corbett 4 years, 11 months ago

No Mr. Nice Guy. I am hooking up the dogs to the sled first thing.

gsxr600 4 years, 11 months ago

So this basically means no accumulation - 3 inches, or 8+ inches.

alm77 4 years, 11 months ago

Does Matt Elwell have a blog or do you have a page where he regularly posts his predictions? I think he missed the last one, but everybody did.

riverdrifter 4 years, 11 months ago

Boston:

Were them potlickers frozen to the ground?

del888 4 years, 11 months ago

Fox 4 website says we will ge more rain / freezing rain and very little snow. MOst snow will be north of St. Joe

http://www.fox4kc.com/weather/forecast/video/

Jonathan Kealing 4 years, 11 months ago

del--

That forecast from KC is old. New data came out around 10 that moved the snow/sleet line, S-SE. KC metro, though, is still a bit east of where they're expecting much snow. Subject to change, of course.

Jonathan Kealing Online editor

firemedic301 4 years, 11 months ago

my question is the ice in the form of sleet or like the ice storm in 07. Oh and Fabian, It snowed on April 12th, 2008 which was my wedding day, but good wishful thinking!

Kelly Johnson 4 years, 11 months ago

You have to pay attention to weather.com's predictions because they break it down into smaller time frames. Like I see on my iPhone app it say 1" snow accumulation tonight, then 1-3" tomorrow (day), then another 1" tomorrow evening. So storm total is up to 5" but it's less in each section of the forecast. And for about the last month, the forecast on The Weather Channel's iPhone app has been off quite a lot, which is weird because usually it's pretty accurate short term at least.

mr_right_wing 4 years, 11 months ago

Isn't this basically what they've needed in Vancouver? Send it there, we'll take a pass.....!

Kelly Johnson 4 years, 11 months ago

@thebcman Either way it still sucks, I guess! LOL. I think you're right about it being 1/10th or 1/4" rather than 1". Have we ever even gotten 1" of ice? HORROR!! I should've bought a couple flashlights at Walmart when I went for milk and bread!

bearded_gnome 4 years, 11 months ago

Ice!!!

I'm charging batteries as I type.

judging by a recent quote, apparently katie Tornadie still clings to the myth of global warming/"climate change." now, there's a ringing endorsement of an unproven theory!


polish your can of spam, grab the toilet paper, batteries, flashlights, radio, extra warm clothes, becuz we're all gonna die!

Christine Anderson 4 years, 11 months ago

Ah ha! I was hoping Gnome would use a gnome as his avatar? Do you resemble the gnome at all? As for the weather, I think I'll give up on expecting anything good out of a Ks forecast. Although Christmas Eve and Day did deliver nicely.

bearded_gnome 4 years, 11 months ago

well Deadender, it is true, too. As I type, I am charging batteries...


RI, now it says "light freezing rain, 30F I can feel the ice forming out thar!


Cheesehead: Ah ha! I was hoping Gnome would use a gnome as his avatar? Do you resemble the gnome at all?

---yes, I resemble the gnome, and gnomes of ancient mythology, and gnomes of Zork [old computer game]. you can read about it in Did-I-Say-That's blog on user names. thanks Cheesehead, how's the Wisconsin Cheesehead appendage?

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