Archive for Thursday, October 2, 2008

AP Poll: Obama pulls away to 7-point lead

October 2, 2008

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Election 2008

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— Barack Obama has surged to a seven-point lead over John McCain one month before the presidential election, lifted by voters who think the Democrat is better suited to lead the nation through its sudden financial crisis, according to an Associated Press-GfK poll that underscores the mounting concerns of some McCain backers.

Likely voters now back Obama 48-41 percent over McCain, a dramatic shift from an AP-GfK survey that gave the Republican a slight edge nearly three weeks ago, before Wall Street collapsed and sent ripples across worldwide markets. On top of that, unrelated surveys show Obama beating McCain in several battlegrounds, including Ohio, Florida, Pennsylvania and Iowa - four states critical in the state-by-state fight for the presidency.

Several GOP strategists close to McCain's campaign privately fret that his chances for victory are starting to slip away.

These Republicans, speaking on condition of anonymity to avoid angering the campaign, point to several factors: Obama's gains nationally and in traditionally GOP states, no McCain boost from the first debate, McCain's struggles with economic issues as the financial crisis has unfolded and deepening public skepticism about his running mate, Sarah Palin.

Comments

jonas_opines 6 years, 10 months ago

Can we call this the Palin trough, to coincide with the Palin bump?

Haiku_Cuckoo 6 years, 10 months ago

It all comes down to who shows up at the voting booth. The only people that vote consistently are old people and religious nuts. Young people don't vote, and I suspect that they make up a big part of Obama's support base. Anything could happen.

just_another_bozo_on_this_bus 6 years, 10 months ago

True, Haiku, but this was a poll of likely voters, which I assume takes into account what you just said.

1029 6 years, 10 months ago

This race is not going to be that close. Sorry, republican simpletons. It would take a major disaster on the part of Obama/Biden for McCain and the Moron to have a chance. It was baffling that polls were making the race so close for so long. I guess a close race is exciting for the media and increases voter turnout? Kind of suprised they are having Obama start to pull away so early. I doubt the polls will have the margin increase much more until the days right before the election, and they will only do so then so that voters still have confidence in polls come next election.

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