Doral, Fla. ? Even with a one-shot lead, Geoff Ogilvy realizes the odds are against him.

And that was before someone told him the odds.

Tiger Woods has brought the Blue Monster to its knees the last three years. He has won the CA Championship the last three years. And perhaps the most daunting of all is that Woods has not lost any tournament anywhere over the last six months.

Ogilvy saved par four times from a bunker to remain bogey-free over the first two rounds at Doral, and he finished with a 5-under 67 on Friday for a one-shot lead over Woods (66) going into the weekend of this World Golf Championship.

It wasn’t too long after he finished that someone mentioned that one bookmaker had Woods as a 1-to-2 favorite, with Ogilvy – the leader – next at 5-to-1. Ogilvy wanted to know what the odds were for Adam Scott, his best friend who bogeyed the last two holes for a 68 that put him only three shots out of the lead but in the final group today.

His also were 5-to-1.

“So it doesn’t matter who it is playing against Tiger,” Ogilvy said. “That’s reality. He’s won these last however many golf tournaments. He hasn’t lost too many when in contention after two rounds. He hasn’t lost too many at Doral. There’s a lot of things in his favor.”

That’s not to say Ogilvy is raising a white flag. As much as he conceded that Woods has a lot going for him at the moment, Ogilvy is a former U.S. Open champion who has been around long enough to know that each week brings a surprise.

“Five to one,” he said to himself, repeating the odds. “If I wasn’t playing, maybe I’d have a go.”

Instead, his focus will be on a dream threesome this morning. Ogilvy marvels at the theater of playing with Woods, and Scott is such a close friend that he drove back to Winged Foot two years ago when Ogilvy got into contention and ultimately won the U.S. Open.

“How can you not enjoy playing with the guy who’s on his way to being the best golfer of all time?” Ogilvy said. “It’s a thrill.”