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Archive for Monday, July 7, 2008

The buck doesn’t stop here - it just keeps falling

Dollar’s value continues decline

July 7, 2008

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— Things in the U.S. sure are tough. Brother, can you spare a euro?

Signs saying "We accept euros" are cropping up in the windows of some Manhattan retailers. A Belgium company is trying to gobble up St. Louis-based Anheuser-Busch, the nation's largest brewer and iconic Super Bowl advertiser.

The almighty dollar is mighty no more. It has been declining steadily for six years against other major currencies, undercutting its role as the leading international banking currency. The long slide is fanning inflation at home and playing a major role in the run-up of oil and gasoline prices everywhere.

Vacationing Europeans are finding bargains in the U.S., while Americans in Paris and other world capitals are being clobbered by sky-high tabs for hotels, travel and even sidewalk cafes. Northern border-city Americans who once flocked into Canada for shopping deals are staying home; it's the Canadians flocking here now.

Everything made in America - from goods to entire companies - is near dirt cheap to many foreigners. Meanwhile, American consumers, both those who travel and those who stay at home, are seeing big price increases in energy, food and imported goods. The dollar has lost roughly a quarter of its purchasing power against the currencies of major U.S. trading partners from its peak in 2002.

Since oil is bought and sold in dollars worldwide, the devalued dollar has made the recent surge in energy prices even worse for Americans, leading to $4 gasoline in the United States. Analysts suggest that of the $140 a barrel that oil fetches globally, some $25 may be due to the devalued dollar.

Further declines in the dollar will add to oil's appeal as a commodity to be traded.

Oil, suggests influential energy consultant Daniel Yergin, is "the new gold."

The limp greenback has had one big benefit to the U.S. economy: Since it makes American goods cheaper overseas, it has helped manufacturers who export and other U.S. based companies with international reach. Exports have been one of the few bright spots in an otherwise darkening U.S. economy.

Franklin Vargo, vice president of international economic affairs at the National Association of Manufacturers, welcomes the dollar slide, as do members of his organization.

"We can see that, when the dollar's not overpriced, that people around the world want American goods and our exports are going gangbusters now," he said.

He doesn't see the dollar as undervalued. He sees it as having being overpriced in the 1990s - and what's happened since as something along the lines of a correction.

Still, Vargo acknowledges the dollar's decline has brought a measure of pain to some consumers. "As the dollar has gone down in value, that has added to the dollar cost of oil. No question. So having the dollar decline is not unambiguously a plus. That's why we say there's got to be a balance there somewhere. What we want is a Goldilocks dollar. Not too strong, not too weak. But just right. And only the market can determine that," Vargo said.

Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Economy.com, said expanding exports due to a weak dollar are "an important source of growth, but it doesn't add a lot to jobs, it doesn't mean very much for the average American household. For the average American, for the average consumer, these are pretty tough times."

Comments

spiderman 5 years, 9 months ago

the Bush legacy grows & grows & grows ......and grows...like our deficit for King George's wars.......

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invictus 5 years, 9 months ago

Our currency has not been backed by gold since the civil war. And every war since we have printed more money and now have a complete fiat system. Why? So the federal reserve can control every aspect of lives, force socialism, and steal our wealth.

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Andrew Stahmer 5 years, 9 months ago

Well, before someone pins this completely and entirely on Bush, let me bring your attention to a democratically controlled congress. There is plenty of blame to go around. If you're thinking 'if only The Obamassiah gets elected, all our troubles will go away!!" --you're an idiot. Things will at best, stay the same. I kinda doubt increasing taxes is going to stimulate the economy. But then if you wanna live in a dream world...who am I to stop you? Just be ready for a rude awakening no matter WHO is in that oval office!!

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avoice 5 years, 9 months ago

Our currency has not been backed by gold since Nixon. Where have you been?

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majiktami 5 years, 9 months ago

I would say this is important. Our dollar is not backed by gold anymore? A worthless currency is a dangerous path.

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