Archive for Wednesday, January 2, 2008

Economic inequality is key to immigration

January 2, 2008

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As a Mexican citizen living legally in Lawrence, I am extremely interested in the debate about illegal immigration (mainly from Mexico). I am a law-abiding citizen both here and in my own country and therefore I cannot but agree that wholesale breaking of American laws is unacceptable and something must be done to solve the problem of illegal migration and border security. (Mexico has a taste of the same problems with Central American immigrants.)

However, I do believe that Americans are now concentrating almost single-mindedly on measures that address the symptoms, rather than the causes, of the immigration situation. The symptom is a very marked increase, beginning about 10 years ago, in the number of Mexicans coming to work in the United States. The cause is the economic inequality both between the countries and within Mexico.

The fact that hourly salaries in the United States are daily wages in many (but not, by far, all) sectors of the Mexican economy naturally attracts migrants. Despite NAFTA having catapulted the Mexican economy to the "trillion dollars class," as the CIA fact book puts it, this huge macroeconomic improvement has not been able to create more jobs or increase wages in Mexico in a proportional way (wages have increased in Mexico since NAFTA, but mostly in the white collar sector).

In the United States, practically the entire debate about immigration has concentrated on "securing the border" and tougher hiring measures within the United States. These measures are about the symptom, but do nothing about the fundamental cause. Moreover, some of these measures, like toughening border crossings, are probably worsening the very situation they pretend to solve. For example, a recent study by the Pew Hispanic Center shows that increased security in the border is changing what used to be a de facto temporary working situation into a permanent one, because workers, afraid that they will not be able to cross again, bring their families and attempt to stay.

Or consider the effects on the economic causes of migration if the remittances by Mexican workers in the United States (now in the region of 20 billion U.S. dollars annually) would stop as a consequence of some of the radical measures being proposed now. ("Build the wall, and toss 'em back over," as an anonymous comment in the Journal-World puts it).

Does anyone seriously think this would solve the problem? Much as some people may wish it, Mexico will not just disappear beyond the wall, if it is finished. History proves that, in the long term, walls have never worked, and the realities of geography will not change. What can indeed change are the economic and social circumstances. Humanity has always been able to do something about these.

Mexico is a developing country, but many Americans probably do not realize that their neighbor to the south is not just an average poor country. The World Bank regards Mexico as "an advanced middle income country." Mexico is among the 15 larger economies of the world. The GDP of Mexico is larger, for example, than that of Australia or many European countries.

It is the inequality of income, not the total figures, that makes Mexico a poor country and causes emigration, and doing something about inequality is not impossible. We Mexicans are trying hard to solve this problem, which has deep roots in the colonial past. No doubt, in due time, we will, and when that happens, the United States will stop getting workers from Mexico, even without a wall, as it has happened before.

Remember the big migration from Scotland or Ireland or Italy. Did those guys stop coming because some defense was built over the Atlantic coast of the United States, or because their countries developed and migrating stopped being attractive? A more recent example is Spain, not long ago a net exporter of workers and now, with a developed economy, receiving migrants from Africa and Latin America.

I suggest that a really comprehensive discussion would include whether measures adopted by the United States (legislation, law-enforcement, economic) will, in the long term, help Mexicans tackle the root causes of the migratory patterns or delay and hinder us from finding solutions. Certain measures will help to create a southern neighbor which is less unequal (and in aggregate terms the gap is already not that huge) and which has a healthier economy capable of retaining its workers at home.

Mexico shares with the United States 2,000 miles of border and we Mexicans have been trying hard, for decades, to become a fully democratic, modern economy. When we succeed, this almost certainly will diminish migration rates to the United States. Is it in the interest of the American people to consider this fact in your vital discussions about migration? I respectfully think so.

- Jorge Soberón is a scientist at the Natural History Museum at Kansas University.