Archive for Thursday, June 21, 2007

China now top CO2 emitter

June 21, 2007


— China has overtaken the United States as the world's top producer of carbon dioxide emissions - the biggest manmade contributor to global warming - based on the latest widely accepted energy consumption data, a Dutch research group says.

According to a report released Tuesday by the Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, China overtook the U.S. in emissions of CO2 by 8 percent in 2006. While China was 2 percent below the United States in 2005, voracious coal consumption and increased cement production caused the numbers to rise rapidly, the group said.

"It's an expression of their fast industrial production activities and their fast development," Jos G.J. Olivier, the agency's senior scientist who compiled the figures, said Wednesday. The agency is independent but paid by the Dutch government to advise it on environmental policy.

The study said China, which relies on coal for two-thirds of its energy needs and makes 44 percent of the world's cement, produced 6.2 billion metric tons of carbon dioxide in 2006. In comparison, the U.S., which gets half its electricity from coal, produced 5.8 billion metric tons of CO2, it said.

The group's analysis makes sense and had been predicted to happen by 2009 or 2010, said experts from the United Nations and the U.S. Energy Information Administration, and outside academics.

Bert Metz, a senior researcher at the Dutch agency and a leading expert on efforts to battle global warming, said the analysis was done using methods and data that "are the best currently available."

This means that "Chinese contributions to global CO2 emissions are getting more important," Metz said in an e-mail to The Associated Press.

Telephone calls to China's State Environmental Protection Agency and the National Development and Reform Commission, the Cabinet-level economic planning agency, were not answered Wednesday.

Earlier figures indicated China would likely surpass the U.S. in greenhouse gas emissions as early as 2009, although other predictions said it could happen this year.

Chinese environmental officials have said that while total emissions are going up, they are still less than one quarter of those of the United States on a per capita basis. Because China's population of 1.3 billion people is more than four times that of the United States, China spews about 10,500 pounds of carbon dioxide per person, while in the United States it is nearly 42,500 pounds per person.


Sigmund 10 years, 10 months ago

Despite Bozo's and Al Gore's assertions, there is no strong consensus among climate scientist of man made global warming:

"In a 2003 poll conducted by German environmental Researchers Dennis Bray and Hans von Storch, two-thirds of more than 530 climate scientists from 27 countries surveyed did not believe that "the current state of scientific knowledge is developed well enough to allow for a reasonable assessment of the effects of greenhouse gases." About half of those polled stated that the science of climate change was not sufficiently settled to pass the issue over to policymakers at all"

In fact, climate science supports the hypothsis that the sun is by far the most dominant catalyst for changes in climate:

"In a series of groundbreaking scientific papers starting in 2002, Veizer, Shaviv, Carslaw, and most recently Svensmark et al., have collectively demonstrated that as the output of the sun varies, and with it our star's protective solar wind, varying amounts of galactic cosmic rays from deep space are able to enter our solar system and penetrate the earth's atmosphere. These cosmic rays enhance cloud formation which, overall, has a cooling effect on the planet."

R. Timothy Patterson, professor and director of the Ottawa-Carleton Geoscience Centre, Department of Earth Sciences, Carleton University and the first-class scientists he works with are consistently finding excellent correlations between the regular fluctuations in the brightness of the sun and earthly climate. This is not surprising. The sun and the stars are the ultimate source of all energy on the planet.

But I think we all can agree to send Al Gore to China so he can lecture them on CO2 emissions.

Linda Endicott 10 years, 10 months ago

Did anybody else see the show on the History Channel the other night about the Little Ice Age?

Seems that the climate has changed drastically before...

gr 10 years, 10 months ago

You mean Kansas is not the top CO2 emitter?
Maybe it's subject to vote.
Or political gain.

"efforts to battle global warming," Pathetic. Both the attitude and the efforts. Haven't they been updated and found out scientists don't believe that it's man-made?

just_another_bozo_on_this_bus 10 years, 10 months ago

Though it's hard to tell for sure through the ungrammatically thick waters, it appears you are still swimming in De Nile, gr.

erod0723 10 years, 10 months ago

We're number 2! I say we have a cold era smog race to see who can pollute the most. Never doubt the American spirit. I think we can pull it out and reclaim our rightful spot at the top.

jonas 10 years, 10 months ago

This report comes as (cough) no surprise (cough cough hack) to me (cough hack hack spit) at all.

Man, it's frequent that you can't see buildings even a mile away here in Beijing. I think they're going to have to train the long-distance runners for the Olympics by making them smoke a couple of cigarettes a day.

jonas 10 years, 10 months ago

"Haven't they been updated and found out scientists don't believe that it's man-made?"

Hey, if you saw it on Newsmax, it must be true, eh.

erod0723 10 years, 10 months ago

gr, Congrats. You've won the idiotic comment of the week award. Please go back to high school and learn about things that science has accepted to be true, such as germ theory, evolution, and global warming. And people wonder why this country is getting more stupid with successive generation....

just_another_bozo_on_this_bus 10 years, 10 months ago

Yes, climate changes. But we live at a particular time, in a particular climate, and our survival is dependent on its staying pretty much the same, or at least changing gradually enough that we have time to adapt.

Despite Sigmund's assertion, there is a very strong consensus among climate scientists that human activity is creating and/or accelerating global warming. And there is a very strong possibility that this will lead to transformations in our climate that we won't be able to adapt to quickly enough to prevent famine and dislocation from affecting many millions.

But maybe you'll be one of the lucky few who aren't touched by any of that. At worst, it'll be your kids and grandkids who get stuck with the environmental blowback caused by your gluttony and willful ignorance, so what do you care?

Sigmund 10 years, 10 months ago

Here are some "inconvenient truths" There is no scientific consensus on global warming. Climate is always changing, with or without man. Hurricanes are not getting worse; our tendency to build houses in their path is getting greater. Many big businesses lobby for global warming policies that will increase their profits: and our costs.

"The only constant about climate is change; it changes continually and, at times, quite rapidly. Many times in the past, temperatures were far higher than today, and occasionally, temperatures were colder. As recently as 6,000 years ago, it was about 3 C warmer than now. Ten thousand years ago, while the world was coming out of the thousand-year-long 'Younger Dryas' cold episode, temperatures rose as much as 6 C in a decade - 100 times faster than the past century's."

gr 10 years, 10 months ago

"that science has accepted to be true, such as germ theory, evolution, and global warming. "

Some people need to go back to school and do the exercises of: which of the three don't belong.

"Accepted" to be true rather than "found" to be true. By popular vote. A "consensus". A consensus by news people, that is.

Thanks for the great laugh.

just_another_bozo_on_this_bus 10 years, 10 months ago

I understand, Sigmund, that your ideological biases are so strong that you are prevented from recognizing the nearly unanimous scientific consensus on global warming-- is there a society for you folks? Maybe an offshoot of the Flat Earth Society, perhaps?

packrat 10 years, 10 months ago

I'm not sure, but wasn't China listed as exempt from Kyoto?

Mkh 10 years, 10 months ago

This is huge news with terrible consequences. We all knew it was going to happen to soon, Asia's industry is exploding. The important point in all of this however is not CO2 emissions, but rather the fact of that equates to the consumption of fossil fuels. China has rapidly expanded it's use of fossil fuels which is putting a huge strain on world wide supplies, especially oil. Part of the entire problem concerning the insane climb in oil demand is that China now requires an immense amount to sustain their economy. Unfortunately they built their industry based on the American model and are now addicted to oil for survival like we are.

As the coming crisis of Peak Oil hits us full on in the next decade there will be a heated race with China and other large consumers over the remaining reserves. The US has taken the intial step in the race with it's current military actions in Iraq and throughout the Middle East. Unfortunately this situation with China and dwindling resources will almost certainly bring a direct conflict between the US and China in the future. A cold war will occur, but a full on hot war is likely and extremely scary.

Mkh 10 years, 10 months ago

Are you arguing with that statement Marion, or are you just arguing?

kneejerkreaction 10 years, 10 months ago

China, send us your cheap consumer products, but keep your dirty air. Giant fans installed along our borders should keep the smog out and the cheap products coming in. Wal-Mart could buy advertising space on the fans.

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