Temperatures not sizzling – yet

Soggy spring no match for inevitable warmup, weather experts say

Summer is just around the corner, but it hasn’t felt that way lately in Lawrence.

“We have yet to hit 90 degrees this year, and as of last year we had 10 days of 90-degree weather by this point,” said Matt Elwell, 6News meteorologist.

Still, the cool, rainy days of late spring don’t mean much when it comes to predicting what the actual summer will be like.

The U.S. Climate Prediction Center, a division of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, reports no strong indications that this summer in Kansas will be below average or higher than average when it comes to precipitation and temperature.

The agency bases its predictions on previous years’ trends and by monitoring factors such as ocean temperatures and soil moisture.

“It’s kind of uncertain, but it looks like the best chance is for something relatively near to normal,” said George Phillips, science and operations officer at the National Weather Service in Topeka.

So what is normal in the Midwest? According to Mike Halpert, the head of forecast operations for the Climate Prediction Center, the average daily temperature in Wichita between 1971 and 2000 for the months of June, July and August was 78.9 degrees.

In the past 10 years, the average temperature has been 79 degrees.

“There’s really no sign, at least over the past 10 years, that the interior part of the country has been getting warmer during summers,” Halpert said.

Despite what’s seemed to be an unusually wet spring, Elwell said Lawrence is actually below its average amount of rainfall so far for June. As of Monday, there had been 1.63 inches of rainfall this month, compared with 1.97 in a typical year.