1. Raiders: JaMarcus Russell, QB, LSU.

The Raiders are still second-guessing themselves for passing on Matt Leinart a year ago. They enter this year’s draft in even worse shape at quarterback, so they likely will resist the urge to draft Georgia Tech wide receiver Calvin Johnson, spurn all trade offers for the rights to the top pick and select Russell with the hope he can solve their deficiency at the most important position.

2. Lions: Calvin Johnson, WR, Georgia Tech.

This is exactly what the Lions want – their whole draft plan rests on the Raiders’ taking Russell. The Lions have trade suitors who want Johnson, so expect them to deal the pick. They will trade down only a few spots because they want to take Clemson defensive end Gaines Adams and won’t move far enough to lose their chance at him.

3. Browns: Brady Quinn, QB, Notre Dame.

How is it that Quinn’s every breath on a football field has been dissected for years yet nobody knows what to make of him? He was quarterback for Notre Stinkin’ Dame, for crying out loud, not some hayseed college without its own TV contract. Anyway, Quinn is the draft’s mystery man. The Browns would take him because they lack confidence in Frye and see Quinn as a potential Tom Brady.

4. Bucs: Joe Thomas, OT, Wisconsin.

The Bucs need a franchise left tackle to help them do a better job protecting their quarterbacks. Thomas could step in right away, but he wouldn’t have to because the Bucs have Luke Petitgout. Thomas is a powerful run blocker with quick feet and wouldn’t require much coaching.

5. Cardinals: Gaines Adams, DE, Clemson.

The Cardinals need a pass-rushing end. They’ll try like heck to trade down because they like offensive tackle Levi Brown but don’t want to take him this early. They’ll be tempted by Oklahoma running back Adrian Peterson.

6. Redskins: Alan Branch, DT, Michigan.

The Redskins need a big body in the middle who can push the pocket, stop the run and occupy blockers. Branch can do all of that. Though his stock has fallen lately, the team has always liked him. Amobi Okoye is the hot tackle in this draft, but it’s unlikely the Redskins will draft a 19-year-old. Joe Gibbs has pants older than that.

7. Vikings: Adrian Peterson, RB, Oklahoma.

Peterson’s big-play ability would make it impossible for the Vikings to pass him up. Chester Taylor broke down in the final month of the season under the strain of 300-plus carries. Peterson would provide a quicker alternative to Taylor’s grind-it-out style.

8. Falcons: LaRon Landry, S, LSU.

This is exactly how the team hopes the draft unfolds. Safety has been a trouble spot for the Falcons the past few years. By taking Landry, they will have a leader in the secondary for years to come. He can play free or strong safety.

9. Dolphins: Levi Brown, OT, Penn State.

If Quinn, Landry and Branch are gone, the Dolphins would go with Brown over Ohio State wideout Ted Ginn. Brown’s experience in a big-time program is important. So are the size and smarts he has to handle left tackle.

10. Texans: Joe Staley, OT, Central Michigan.

Staley has shot up the charts in recent weeks, and the Texans have fallen in love with him. They like his speed, which is important because Houston’s system values it more than other teams’ schemes do. The Texans must provide protection for Matt Schaub, who is even less mobile than David Carr.

11. 49ers: Adam Carriker, DE, Nebraska.

The 49ers need help on the front line to complete their transition to a 3-4 scheme. Carriker (6-6, 291) is big enough to stand up against the run at end and strong enough to move inside and push the pocket on pass plays. Moreover, he’s a solid tackler – and shoddy tackling was one of the 49ers’ biggest problems last year.

12. Bills: Patrick Willis, ILB, Mississippi.

The Bills need a running back and would be tempted by California’s Marshawn Lynch, but they can get a good back in the second round. Willis’ speed and athleticism would give the team flexibility. He’s a natural middle linebacker, but he’s fast enough to play outside.

13. Rams: Amobi Okoye, DT, Louisville.

This is a slam dunk for the Rams, who need defensive line help in the worst way. Okoye may not be a true nose tackle, but the Rams would find a way to use him. He is bright and mature with a high motor, playmaking ability and huge upside.

14. Panthers: Ted Ginn, WR-KR, Ohio State.

The Panthers need someone to complement Steve Smith and be a long-term replacement for Keyshawn Johnson. Ginn could be a very good third receiver right away. He also would add explosiveness to the return game – a weakness last season.

15. Steelers: Leon Hall, CB, Michigan.

He’s strong against the run and fits the Steelers’ style of defense. They need help at corner because Deshea Townsend is coming off an average year, Ike Taylor was benched and Ricardo Colclough is recovering from a neck injury.

16. Packers: Darrelle Revis, CB, Pitt.

GM Ted Thompson is in the perfect position to trade down, and that remains a strong possibility. Revis would help bolster an aging secondary. He’s a cover corner who can play in the team’s man-to-man system.

17. Jaguars: Jamaal Anderson, DE, Arkansas.

The Jags’ front office would like to send a bouquet of flowers to Carolina for drafting Ginn because if he were on the board, the club would have been tempted to draft yet another receiver. Put Anderson with tackles Marcus Stroud and John Henderson and the defensive line would become one of the league’s best.

18. Bengals: Reggie Nelson, S, Florida.

The Bengals really want Revis, but they wouldn’t turn down a playmaking safety who could bolster their weak secondary. Nelson fits the mold of Sean Taylor and Troy Polamalu and is good enough to start at strong safety by midseason.

19. Titans: Dwayne Bowe, WR, LSU.

Tennessee is in dire need of a receiver after losing its top two in the free-agent market. The team says it will surround quarterback Vince Young with playmakers. That strategy begins with this pick.

20. Giants: Aaron Ross, CB, Texas.

The Giants want an outside linebacker but think they can get a good one in the second round. The secondary is the next biggest problem spot – and Ross has the size and speed to step right in and compete for a starting job.

21. Broncos: Anthony Spencer, DE, Purdue.

With Branch, Carriker, Willis, Anderson and Nelson all gone, that sound you just heard was Mike Shanahan pounding the table in dismay. Spencer lacks ideal height, but he made plays in the backfield his senior season by using quickness, solid technique and high intensity.

22. Cowboys: Jarvis Moss, DE, Florida.

The Cowboys will try like crazy to trade out of this spot. To make the 3-4 work, they need another pass rusher. They might try to convert Moss to outside linebacker and hope to have the same success they have had with DeMarcus Ware.

23. Chiefs: Marcus McCauley, CB, Fresno State.

The team wants to get younger at cornerback. It wants Ross but would settle for McCauley (6-foot-3, 203), who is fast, big and a good tackler. Kansas City corners must be able to tackle and play well against the run. McCauley can do both.

24. Patriots: Jon Beason, OLB, Miami.

Coach Bill Belichick isn’t big on drafting linebackers high, but Beason is fast and fierce. The vaunted Patriots staff could make Beason a star by teaching him to play under control.

25. Jets: Justin Blalock, G/T, Texas.

The Jets put a huge emphasis on character, so they’ll take the best available 300-pound Boy Scout. They want to draft a corner, but they aren’t crazy about anybody left at this point. Blalock is very smart and could help at two positions.

26. Eagles: Greg Olsen, TE, Miami.

The team would be shocked if Paul Posluszny were available. But the Eagles haven’t taken a linebacker in the first round since 1979, and that won’t change this year. L.J. Smith likely will be gone after this season, and Olsen is a great pass-catching tight end, perfect for the West Coast offense.

27. Saints: Chris Houston, CB, Arkansas.

Cornerback is the Saints’ biggest need, and Houston appears to be a great fit. The Saints use a lot of man-to-man coverage, and Houston played primarily man at Arkansas, where he held his own against some of the top receivers in the country.

28. Patriots: Tanard Jackson, CB, Syracuse.

Jackson has the skills to start in any scheme, which is convenient because New England is apt to run just about anything week to week. He’s a lot like Eugene Wilson, who would be his teammate in the secondary.

29. Ravens: Tony Ugoh, OT, Arkansas.

Jonathan Ogden likely will retire at the end of this season, so the Ravens are looking for his replacement. Ugoh has elite skills but didn’t always use them in college. His best attribute is his mobility – and he doesn’t have any glaring weaknesses.

30. Chargers: Paul Posluszny, LB, Penn State.

The Chargers are deep across the board, so they can afford to draft for depth. Posluszny is a tackling machine and has many of the same skills as recently departed Donnie Edwards, who signed with Kansas City.

31. Bears: Ben Grubbs, G, Auburn.

Grubbs is a good athlete who has unusual quickness that allows him to pull and lead outside runs. His big weakness is inconsistency.

32. Colts: Robert Meachem, WR, Tennessee.

The Colts have several needs after losing so many players in the offseason. Though the defense needs help, Bill Polian has made it clear he will not allow the offense to slip – and Meachem would fill the need for a third receiver to go with Marvin Harrison and Reggie Wayne.