Archive for Tuesday, January 17, 2006

Modest growth forecast for retail

High energy prices expected to cool spending

January 17, 2006


Retail sales are projected to increase a modest 4.7 percent this year, much less than the 6.1 percent gain in 2005 as higher energy prices, a still shaky labor market and a slowdown in the housing market dampen spending, the National Retail Federation said Tuesday.

In an address to retailers on the second day of the industry's four-day annual convention, Tracy Mullin, CEO of the world's largest retail trade association, said merchants face "myriad challenges" as consumers struggle to find new sources of spending power as home equity refinancing slows.

The association also noted that the retail industry needed solid employment growth in 2006 to sustain healthy wage and salary growth, key factors in consumer spending.

Several categories of specialty retail will be expected to maintain "solid" growth this year, according to the federation: clothing and accessory stores, including those for shoes and jewelry; food and beverage retailers; and health and personal care retailers.

Last year's biggest winners will continue to show gains, the federation said, but their growth will be more modest. Among those categories: building materials, warehouse clubs and electronics.

"Electronics retailers should be able to sustain strong demand for their merchandise as product excitement and attractive pricing will lure consumers," the federation said.

Rosalind Wells, the federation's chief economist, said that in the first quarter, total retail sales should increase 5 percent compared to a year ago. That would be less than the 6.5 percent gain achieved in the fourth quarter of 2005.

Total retail sales exclude business from auto dealers, gas stations and restaurants.


lunacydetector 12 years, 2 months ago

Unemployment is 5% which is damn good (practically 0)! The lowest in 5 years - so I'm trying to see the shaky labor market part of the article.

when compared to germany's unemployment of 11.2% and frances unemployment of 9.7%, the US is in great shape. i'm surprised this news isn't being reported. perhaps liberalism is hurting germany's and france's economies, respectively, and the liberals that control the media don't want it known that GW's done good.

just_another_bozo_on_this_bus 12 years, 2 months ago

Don't know if it's still the case (I imagine it still is,) but the unemployment rate in the US would be similar to that in Europe if they were measured in similar ways. The Europeans are just more honest about it.

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