Growth expected to continue in Midwest

Survey: Gasoline prices create inflation concerns

? The Midwest economy was strong for a fourth straight month in May, but high gasoline prices helped fuel inflationary pressures, according to a survey of manufacturing executives.

The overall index in the Mid-America Business Conditions Index declined slightly in May to 67.3 from April’s record 70.3, but it was above 60 for a fourth straight month, Creighton University economics professor Jim Knudsen said Tuesday.

An index reading above 50 indicates expansion, while one below 50 indicates a contraction in manufacturing activity.

Solid economic growth for the region is expected at least through this year’s third quarter, Knudsen said.

Nationally, manufacturing activity expanded for the 12th consecutive month in May, according to a similar survey done by the Institute for Supply Management. The national manufacturing index advanced to 62.8 in May from 62.4 in April.

Knudsen surveys business leaders and supply managers in a nine-state region, including Nebraska, Iowa, Arkansas, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, North Dakota, Oklahoma and South Dakota.

The prices paid index for manufacturing materials, including steel, metal and energy products, was an unacceptably high 86.6, though a bit lower than the record 89.8 for April, Knudsen said.

Inflationary pressures in the Midwest and nationally probably will lead the Federal Reserve Board to increase interest rates at its June meeting, Knudsen said.

Despite rising prices and possible interest rate increases, confidence in the economy remained high at 71.4, Knudsen said.

New orders were a lofty 72.8 and production stood at 72.4, Knudsen said. The employment index was a solid 63 in May and it should continue to be strong through this year, he said.

Kansas’ overall index rose slightly to 72.6 in May from April’s 71.6, according to the Mid-America Business Conditions Survey. Any reading more than 50 indicates growth in the economy. Readings for components of the overall index for May were: 78.6 for new orders, 76.7 for production, 73.3 for employment, 57.1 for inventories, and 63.3 for delivery time.”Kansas has added less than 3,000 jobs so far in 2004,” economist Jim Knudsen said. “I expect job growth to increase more than four times that rate in the second half of this year.”