Jerusalem ? Israel is worried about chaos that might follow the death of Yasser Arafat and will do everything possible to prevent the Palestinian leader from being buried in Jerusalem, according to a contingency plan obtained Wednesday by The Associated Press.

The five-page document, prepared by the Foreign Ministry, lays out a series of forecasts about what might follow Arafat’s death: the collapse of the Palestinian Authority, a challenge by Islamic militants, and upheaval in other parts of the Middle East.

Despite Israeli efforts to isolate the Palestinian leader, Arafat continues to wield tremendous influence. The plan shows that he will remain a subject of concern to Israel, even in death.

The plan includes recommendations on how to contain what Israel expects to be an extremely volatile environment. The stickiest issue, it says, will be where to bury Arafat.

Officials close to Arafat say he has never indicated where he wants to be buried, but the assumption is he would want to be laid to rest at the Al Aqsa Mosque compound in Jerusalem’s Old City, a supreme honor for Muslims.

Israel will strongly oppose burying Arafat in Jerusalem, the document says. Israel and the Palestinians both claim Jerusalem as their capital, and Israel has continually resisted Palestinian attempts to gain a foothold in the city.

The document makes no reference to Arafat’s health, despite signs in recent years that it is deteriorating.

The 74-year-old Arafat’s hands and lips tremble, leading to speculation he suffers from Parkinson’s disease. His doctors won’t confirm the rumors.

Last summer, Arafat suffered a severe stomach flu, and his inner circle held talks about possible burial places. After he recovered, a medical clinic in his West Bank headquarters was upgraded.

Palestinian officials said their leader was firmly in control. “He is very healthy,” Emad Shakour, an adviser to Arafat, told Israel’s Army Radio.

Arafat, a one-time guerrilla leader, returned to the Palestinian territories from exile in 1994 under the interim Oslo peace accords. Peace talks broke down in early 2001, and the two sides have engaged in more than three years of conflict.

Israel accuses Arafat of supporting Palestinian attacks on Israelis and has confined him to his headquarters in the West Bank city of Ramallah for more than two years.

On Wednesday, Arafat made a brief public appearance at his compound. He was in good spirits, smiling and laughing. He did not comment on the Israeli plan.

The document looks at three possible causes of death: an Israeli military operation, a prolonged illness, or a short, natural death.

It forecasts “upheaval” in the Palestinian territories and throughout the Middle East.

It warns of mass demonstrations in the Palestinian areas, and raises concerns of attacks on Israeli and Western interests elsewhere.