Could a 5-way tie for 1st place be on the horizon in the Big 12?

Kansas guard Ochai Agbaji (30) and Kansas guard Lagerald Vick (24) have a conversation during the first half, Tuesday, Feb. 5, 2019 at Bramlage Coliseum.

A couple of weeks ago, someone asked me if a 4-, 5-, or 6-way tie for the Big 12 regular season title was possible.

At the time, the idea of looking that up and comparing all of those remaining schedules seemed like a little more than my brain could process. But now that we’re into the second half of the Big 12 schedule and closing in on the home stretch, it seemed like a worthy exercise.

That became particularly true after Texas’ win over Baylor last night, which handed the Bears their third Big 12 loss and vaulted Kansas State into first place, all by itself, with a month to go.

Texas’ win bumped the Longhorns to 5-5 in Big 12 play, just a game behind Kansas. So it’s possible — though doubtful — that UT could still be in the mix for a shared title as well.

But a 5-way tie was as far as I could go. And, believe it or not, it’s absolutely possible and, even more to the point, not all that crazy to consider.

Here’s a team-by-team breakdown of the five top contenders’ remaining schedules and what would have to happen in those games for Kansas, Kansas State, Iowa State, Baylor and Texas Tech to finish in a 5-way tie for first in the Big 12 at 11-7 in conference play.

Even though the Wildcats are in the best position right now and riding high off of their recent win over Kansas, the ‘Cats have three tough ones in a row in the immediate future. And even though I think K-State will win at least one or two of its next three games, it’s not crazy to think the Wildcats could lose all three, at Baylor, at Texas and home against Iowa State.

How about that for changing things in a hurry?

As for Kansas, its path to 11-7 is pretty easy. Win the four games it has left at Allen Fieldhouse and find a way to win one on the road. Going 2-2 away from home pushes KU’s projected Big 12 record to 12-6 and could make things very interesting. But until this team shows that it can play with more poise and polish on the road, it’s hard to pick the Jayhawks to win too many outside of Allen Fieldhouse the rest of the way, although I’m sure they’ll find a way to snag at least one.

One more note that came from this exercise of examining the remaining schedules: If we’re talking about a team that seems to be set up best to win this thing outright, I actually think it’s Iowa State. The Cyclones can score against anyone and appear to have the easiest remaining schedule of all five contenders. Plus, Steve Prohm’s team already has 7 wins and is tied with K-State in the win column.

Time will tell if the Cyclones can find a way. And we’ll know soon enough how the whole thing shakes out. But while we wait, here’s a quick look at how that 5-way tie could happen.

Remember, what you’re looking at below in terms of wins and losses is only what would have to happen for all five teams to finish with an 11-7 record, not any kind of prediction about what I think will happen.

Forget about March Madness. True madness, clearly, has already arrived. Enjoy!

KANSAS STATE (7-2 now –> 11-7)

at Baylor – L

at Texas – W

vs. Iowa State – L

at West Virginia – L

vs. Oklahoma State – W

at Kansas – L

vs. Baylor – W

at TCU – L

vs. Oklahoma – W

IOWA STATE (7-3 now –> 11-7)

vs. TCU – W

at K-State – W

vs. Baylor – W

at TCU – L

vs. Oklahoma – W

at Texas – L

at West Virginia – L

vs. Texas Tech – L

BAYLOR (6-3 now –> 11-7)

vs. K-State – W

vs. Oklahoma – W

at Texas Tech – L

at Iowa State – L

vs. West Virginia – W

vs. Texas – W

at K-State – L

vs. Oklahoma State – W

at Kansas – L

KANSAS (6-4 now –> 11-7)

vs. Oklahoma State – W

at TCU – L

vs. West Virginia – W

at Texas Tech – L

vs. K-State – W

at Oklahoma State – L

at Oklahoma – W

vs. Baylor – W

TEXAS TECH (6-4 now –> 11-7)

at Oklahoma – L

at Oklahoma State – L

vs. Baylor – W

vs. Kansas – W

vs. Oklahoma State – W

at TCU – L

vs. Texas – W

at Iowa State – W

Here’s a quick look at this weekend’s Big 12 schedule:

• Oklahoma State at No. 13 Kansas, 11 a.m.

• TCU at No. 17 Iowa State, 1 p.m.

• No. 18 Texas Tech at Oklahoma, 3 p.m.

• Kansas State at Baylor, 5 p.m.

• Texas at West Virginia, 7 p.m.

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