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Archive for Saturday, December 13, 2008

Wall Street gains may signal worst of market meltdown over

December 13, 2008

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— Wall Street put on another impressive show of resilience Friday, rebounding from an early sell-off to end higher after the government said it would assist troubled U.S. automakers.

The market, which just a week earlier withstood a terrible November employment report, managed its advance after the Treasury Department said it was prepared to assist the nation’s Big Three automakers. The Dow Jones industrial average had fallen more than 200 points in early trading after the Senate had killed a $14 billion bailout package for the companies. It closed up 64.59, at 8,629.68.

“It’s hard to say if this is indeed the beginning of a recovery, but it could be,” said Matt King, chief investment officer of Bell Investment Advisors. “It seems like the past few Fridays we’ve ended the week on a positive note.”

A week ago, the market shook off the Labor Department’s report that the economy lost a larger than expected 533,000 jobs in November. Investors are showing a greater tolerance for bad economic and corporate news, and many analysts believe that the market may have reached a bottom after the horrific selling of the past three months.

Since its Nov. 20 low, the Dow is up 14.3 percent, the Standard & Poor’s 500 is up 16.9 percent and the Nasdaq composite index has seen a gain of 17.1 percent. Still, from their October 2007 highs, the Dow remains down by 39.1 percent and the S&P 500 index is down 44 percent. The Nasdaq, which peaked at the start of the decade, is down 46.1 percent from its recent top.

Many analysts believe Wall Street is growing more confident that the government’s steps to stimulate the economy, including its $700 billion bank bailout program, will work. And so news that the Treasury Department could help prevent bankruptcy filings and job losses in the auto industry helped turn the market around Friday.

“Things are looking a little bit brighter after they made those announcements,” said Anthony Conroy, managing director and head trader for BNY ConvergEx Group.

General Motors Corp. and Chrysler LLC have said they could run out of cash within weeks without government help. Ford Motor Co., which would also be eligible for aid under the bill, has said it has enough cash to make it through next year.

Some of the market’s moves Friday were with an eye toward next week’s Federal Reserve decision on interest rates. The two-day meeting begins Monday; the Fed is widely expected to lower its key federal funds rate half a percentage point to 0.5 percent, another step by the government toward lifting the economy out of recession.

The Dow rose 64.59, or 0.75 percent, to 8,629.68. The Dow tumbled 196 points Thursday as worries intensified that the auto bill would stall in the Senate.

The S&P 500 index rose 6.14, or 0.70 percent, to 879.73, and the Nasdaq rose 32.84, or 2.18 percent, to 1,540.72.

For the week, the Dow ended with a loss of fewer than 6 points, or 0.07 percent. The S&P 500 rose 0.42 percent, while the Nasdaq advanced 2.08 percent because of Friday’s gains. For the year, the Dow is down 34.9 percent, the S&P 500 is down 40.1 percent and the Nasdaq is off 41.9 percent.

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