Time to buy hot-hitting Hall

Hello, my name is Bill K., and I’m a fantasy addict.

(Hello, Bill).

Please grant me the serenity to accept the things I cannot change, such as when Pirates closer Mike Gonzalez is lifted in the ninth inning after allowing a walk; I seek the courage to change the things I can, such as dropping Angels pitcher Jeff Weaver, who simply isn’t consistent and never will be, and I ask for the wisdom to know the difference between the right time to stay the course with the Braves’ Jeff Francoeur, and when to cut my losses.

Just as there’s no crying in baseball, there’s no serenity in fantasy baseball.

Last week, this column focused on buying low and selling high. The problem is that just as often, an owner will need to use the opposite strategy: Buy high, sell low.

This isn’t the kind of strategy that made Donald Trump wealthy. But the truth is, sometimes you need to cut bait. If you stuck with shortstop Kaz Matsui last year and waited until he got hot in order to trade him, well, you had a long, long fantasy season.

Or you were Mets GM Omar Minaya.

As one sets out to make wise fantasy baseball decisions, this much I know:

There will be denial, there will be bargaining. A hopeless feeling will descend upon one’s gut as the internal debate rages over whether the Marlins’ Miguel Cabrera will ever drive in another run. And in the end, there will be no serenity with whatever decision you make.

For those of you willing to acknowledge powerlessness over such fantasy decisions, we applaud you for hitting bottom.

And we’re here to help.

Buy high

Bill Hall, UT, Brewers

Here’s something you may not have known about the Brewers’ infielder-outfielder, undervalued by some for his lack of a starting job. Through May 3, Hall leads the majors with six HRs against lefties in just 25 AB. That equals the number of HRs he had against lefties for the past three years combined, in 257 AB. We’re not sure what it means, but it seems to show a sharp increase in power that will continue to translate across the board for this unheralded slugger, wrongly considered by some to be a “poor man’s Chone Figgins.” Hill is stronger and not quite as fast as Figgins. But like the Angels’ utility man, it doesn’t matter that Hall doesn’t have a starting job in Milwaukee. He plays everywhere, and will always get his at-bats.

Brad Hawpe, OF, Rockies

I was shocked at how low he was drafted in most leagues this year. Hawpe has pop. Will he continue to lead the league in hits? Probably not, as he’s still learning to hit lefty pitchers (.333 so far), but the slugger has started the year with MVP-type numbers (.374-8-19), and has seven of his home runs away from Coors Field. He is a legitimate 40-home run threat who isn’t afraid to run a little bit (1-for-4 in SB attempts). Is he worth trading Albert Pujols for? Of course not, but I’d send a Geoff Jenkins or J.D. Drew away for him in a heartbeat.

Sell low

Brad Wilkerson, OF, Rangers

I know he’s gotten a little bit hotter at the plate in the last week or so, but here’s the problem with Wilkerson: He continues to strike out at a record-setting pace, even during his recent “hot streak” (4 hits, 4 Ks in first 11 AB in May). Wilkerson has struck out between 147 and 161 times each of the last four years, and this year he’s on target for well over 230 whiffs. His average when he puts the ball in play the last few years has hovered around .340; this year, it’s .408 through May 3. So I don’t put much into his sudden upswing, until he starts making better contact. It seems he’s been more lucky than good.

Mike Jacobs, 1B, Marlins

In my fantasy preview, I pondered whether Jacobs wasn’t Kevin Maas reincarnated. Maas, if you remember, wowed New York fans for half a year in 1990 with 21 home runs in 254 at-bats, hit 23 in a full 1991 season with a low batting average, and then disappeared off the radar. His problem was making contact. Fantasy owners who don’t learn from history are destined to repeat it. Jacobs hit 11 HRs in 100 AB in New York last year, while showcasing the same tendency to strike out as Maas. So it should be no surprise that his numbers in Florida this year (.179-3-13 in 78 AB) leave a lot to be desired. His 23 Ks illustrate a problem and that won’t change any time soon.

Quick hits

Think there’s a fantasy owner in your league petrified that Alex Rodriguez is going to slumber all season long? It’s unlikely you’ll find anyone willing to dump him for too low a price, but he’s been showing signs of waking up and should soon be carrying fantasy teams, not to mention the Yankees. See what his price is. Ditto, to a lesser extent, OF Hideki Matsui. Here are the combined stats for my stealth two-start pitcher picks so far this year (Wandy Rodriguez, Paul Byrd, Jeff Suppan, Jeremy Bonderman): 5-1, 2.80 ERA (would be better if Byrd hadn’t inexplicably gotten rocked by the Royals). We’ll keep it rolling by going with Chris Young of the Padres, who will face the Cubs twice. Opposing batters are hitting just .189 against Young.