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Posts tagged with Thomas Robinson

Tourney Chances for the Jayhawks

Trying to predict the outcome of the annual March Madness extravaganza is never an easy thing. As parity becomes more prevalent in college basketball (some would argue that it is mediocrity, not parity), the excitement of the tournament has never been higher. Tuesday night’s play-in games were absolutely thrilling, with one team trailing by 16 points with less than 5 minutes to go, then charging back for the win, and in the other game, one team scored 55 points in the first fifteen minutes, building a 25 point lead, but only scoring 17 points the rest of the way to lose in the end. What a way to start the tournament!

The Kansas Jayhawks have, in my opinion, overachieved all season. They ran out basically 5 BCS caliber players and still won the Big XII. It did not hurt my feelings at all to see them fall early in the conference tournament and then to not have to play until late Friday evening. This team appeared tired and beat up toward the end of the season and the extra rest certainly will do them no harm. Yes, it would have been awesome to enjoy yet another KU/MU tilt but I think not having to play a relatively meaningless game against a tough opponent may help KU in the end.

After taking in all the brackets, I did not feel KU got the shaft in their brackets like I usually do. In fact, after pouring over all of the regions, not one team really jumped out at me as having an overwhelming hard or easy path to the Final Four. It seems to me that just about every match-up has its risks for the higher seeds. There just isn’t that much difference in teams this season. When you have a #15 seed Detroit with more McDonald’s All Americans on its team than #2 seed Kansas, that should tell you all you need to know about the state of college basketball.

I can honestly see KU possibly going down in every round. Detroit is no slouch and neither St. May’s nor Purdue are pushovers. KU beat Georgetown earlier in the season but both teams are significantly better than they were. The Hoyas are a deep, young, athletic team that will be a hard match-up for the Jayhawks. I assume that either North Carolina or Michigan will make it to the Elite Eight, although there are obviously no guarantees of that either. If so, KU could beat either team in a scrap. Of course, they could take a beating from either team, too.

KU has a recent history of exiting the tournament too early, and with stronger teams than this one. On the flip side, we as KU fans certainly know how far one player of the year candidate can carry a team. Kansas has two outstanding players in Thomas Robinson and Tyshawn Taylor who will bad match-ups for just about any team. Throw in a true, shot blocking 7-footer, and a couple of capable, tough defenders, KU’s starting five is as good as any in the nation. The problem is an achingly thin bench. If KU gets into any early foul trouble with the top 2 or three players, the lights will dim quickly on the Jayhawks’ hope.

With all of these things taken into consideration, I think the Jayhawks will make it into the Elite Eight at least. It would not surprise me at all if the exit earlier than that, and I will be thrilled if they make it to yet another Final Four. A NC/KU battle for that Final Four spot could be epic. Ole Roy wouldn’t like it much but as fans, it would be terrific. If KU could scrap their way into the Final Four, anything could happen. I think KU is one of eight to twelve teams that have the firepower to win it all.

Of course, my dream final match-up would be the Kansas Jayhawks versus the Missouri Tigers. How great would it be to defeat the Tigers in the final game and send them off to the SEC with their tail tucked firmly between their legs. On the other hand, that match-up would also be my worst nightmare match-up. Nothing would be worse than for the Tigers to end our great, historic rivalry by beating KU in the National Championship game. Let’s not get ahead of ourselves, though. KU has to come out every game and play every minute. They have a tendency to come out flat, either to begin the game, or out of the locker room after halftime. This cannot happen in the tourney or they will be done. They must stay focused, healthy, and out of foul trouble of they want a chance for that Elite Eight.

As I ready for this phenomenally awesome sporting event, I know I will be bitterly disappointed with anything less than an Elite Eight and absolutely thrilled with anything more. As always, I will cheer my team on as long as they are alive and I will complain initially upon their ouster. Regardless, I love my team and would never want to follow any other in the country.

Rock Chalk, Jayhawk. Go KU!!!

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The Jayhawks’ Down Year

I have always admired Bill Self and I consider him a great college basketball coach. We all know he is a terrific recruiter and one of the best coaches roaming the sidelines. Coach Self though, did suffer through one of his worst recruiting seasons of his career last year. He got caught in late May waiting on a handful of young studs to make their decisions on which college they would attend and Self missed on most of them. Self was forced to scrape together some leftovers and scraps just out fill out his roster. Of the guys that chose KU, three were eventually deemed ineligible by the NCAA and one subsequently left the program. Self was left with his most shallow bench, by far, for this team.

Self seems to have learned his lesson when it comes to waiting for young, flighty, self-absorbed children to make up their minds about where they want to play their one year of college ball. Self has locked up most of his recruits for next season already and he won’t be relying on any late signers to make or break next year’s roster. Most, if not all of the signed players, are good students and should not have any NCAA academic issues.

Now, let’s return to the thought about Self being a great coach. This version of the Jayhawks features one big, super-stud in Thomas Robinson. T-Rob is a beast, a match-up problem for almost any college teams. KU also relies on a flighty, inconsistent, often times, brilliant guard in Tyshawn Taylor. Many fans have been quite harsh with Taylor, and sometimes he has earned this, but KU would not be anywhere near as good as they are without him. While his uneven play will undoubtedly cost the Jayhawks a win or two, his athleticism and skills with certainly win the Jayhawks many more games than he will lose. He has already done so. I think fans need to accept Taylor for what he is and be glad he plays for us and not someone else.

Jeff Withey has been better than I ever thought he would be. While he is not a perfect player, he offers so much that is positive to this team. I think he has been the biggest key to the success of his team thus far, more than any other single player. The starting line up is rounded out by a couple of players in Elijah Johnson and Travis Releford who have developed into decent role players. While I think both are underachievers on the offensive end, both have been playing terrific defense and in Self’s system, this is as important as scoring points. EJ especially needs to gain offensive confidence if the Jayhawks hope to go very deep into the NCAA tournament.

The bench is where Self’s recruiting shortcomings really rears its ugly head. Self is basically stealing minutes of rest with just three players, none of which are really good enough to be playing regularly in a conference as good as the Big XII. Conner Teahan is the most disappointing because he is supposed to be a three point specialist and he has struggled mightily most of the season. Let’s face facts here – if Teahan isn’t hitting 3’s, he isn’t contributing much. His defense is barely adequate and he often looks overmatched on both ends of the court. He does hustle and rebound but most times, it is not enough. Kevin Young and Justin Wesley are both just foul fodder. There have been few seasons when either of these guys would have been good enough to see any court time at KU. Again, they work hard but just fall short of being skilled enough to make much more than an occasional positive contribution.

This team reminds me a little of the 1987-1988 champions. Each features one incredible player of the year candidate and not a whole lot else. Each team had some big ups and downs throughout the season. This biggest difference is that this squad has overachieved most of the season. They have been a ranked team all year. They still have a great chance to win another league championship. I can not predict at this time how I think they will do in the NCAA tournament. I can easily see this team losing in one of the first two rounds. When a team is as shallow as this one is, a single game can easily be influenced heavily and negatively, by foul trouble or a slight injury. If KU would lose early in the tourney this season, I would be disappointed but not overly surprised. Self’s teams do have a history of early exits in the tournament.

On the other hand, we all know perfectly well that a single player can throw a team over his shoulder and carry them to the promise land. We have seen it firsthand. T-Rob could be this kind of player. Robinson also has a very talented caddy in Taylor, who could easily go on a six-game hot streak and propel KU right into the Final Four and maybe even to a championship. Coach Bill Self has a history here too. We all know he has a championship under his belt as well as some of those early exits.

I think if this turns out to be KU’s down year and Coach Self learns from his past mistakes in recruiting, as it appears he has, we as KU fans should feel very fortunate. There are a lot of schools out there who love to be ranked in the top ten and be tied for first in their conference in a down season. This may very well be Self’s greatest coaching job. He has worked miracles with a team with very few BCS-type players. As KU fans, we are definitively spoiled rotten. I, for one, don’t mind. I am looking forward to the last few weeks of the regular season and the tourney season. I will cheer the Jayhawks on for however long they last in the post season and I will probably be disappointed and a little mad if, or when, we lose. Yet, I wouldn’t want to follow any other team or coach. Rock Chalk!

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