National Journal, a non-partisan political publication, includes the Kansas gubernatorial election among its list of 15 governorships “most likely to flip” from one major political party to the other.

“By all rights, Kansas should be safe Republican territory, but it features the sleeper race of the cycle,” the National Journal states, ranking the race between Republican Gov. Sam Brownback and House Minority Leader Paul Davis, D-Lawrence, No. 10 among the top 15.

The article mentions past Democratic successes for governor in Kansas, the warfare between moderates and conservatives in the Republican Party and polling that indicates a tight race.